Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand: match statistics
Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Termez Surkhon played against Dinamo Samarqand in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on July 23, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Termez Surkhon has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Dinamo Samarqand has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.58. Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.58 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Termez Surkhon's games and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 92%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dinamo Samarqand has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.22 per game. Termez Surkhon takes 11.4 shots per game, while Dinamo Samarqand takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Termez Surkhon leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Dinamo Samarqand leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Termez Surkhon's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Dinamo Samarqand, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Termez Surkhon concedes an average of 1.17 goals per home match and has a 17% clean sheet rate at home, whereas Dinamo concedes 2.17 goals on the road on average and has no clean sheets away (0%). The hosts are also in better overall form — 9 goals and 3 wins in their last 5 matches (3-1-1), averaging 2 points per game, while the visitors have scored 13 goals in their last 5 but suffer a high away loss rate (67%). Shot-quality stats show Dinamo creates more danger (avg. 4.83 shots on target and 13% conversion rate away versus 2.83 and 8% for the hosts) and a higher xG (1.53 vs 1.31), however the visitors’ greater defensive frailties on the road (2.17 conceded) offset that advantage. Considering Termez’s home organization and recent form, I assign the hosts 47%, draw 27% and Dinamo 26%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have BTTS at 100% this season, and in the last 5 matches Termez Surkhon has 80% BTTS versus Dinamo Samarqand’s 100%, which strongly supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Termez averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes 1.50 per game this season, while Dinamo scores 1.50 and concedes 2.17, meaning both sides regularly find the net and simultaneously show defensive vulnerability. xG confirms this picture: xG for Termez is 1.44 versus 1.53 for Dinamo, and xG against is 1.40 and 1.38; additionally, average shots on target 4.5 vs 4.83 suggest real scoring opportunities from both sides. Moreover, both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and high over 2.5 rates — 83% (Termez) and 100% (Dinamo) — while the league average BTTS is only 55%, showing this specific match significantly exceeds the league trend. In light of these figures the pick 'BTTS - Yes' appears dominant; I assess its probability at 90%, and No Goal at 10%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data strongly favor thresholds above 1.5 and 2.5 goals: both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 this season, while Termez Surkhon has 83% and Dinamo Samarqand 100% of matches over 2.5. xG indicates an open game: home xG is 1.44 versus away xG conceded 1.38 (approximately 1.41 expected goals for Termez), and away xG is 1.53 versus home xG conceded 1.40 (about 1.47 for Dinamo), totaling roughly 2.88 xG. Additionally, both teams have 100% of season matches with both teams scoring, and in the last 5 matches Dinamo averaged 2.6 goals while Termez averaged 1.8, which increases the probability of more goals. Considering the league average of 2.59 goals/match and the high Over 2.5 percentages for these teams (83% and 100%), the strongest signal is the over 2.5 line. Higher thresholds like 3.5 are less justified (seasonal Over 3.5 at 33% for both), so I recommend Over 2.5 as the optimal pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches the away team led at the break in 60% of cases and scored an average of 1.6 goals by half-time (11 goals total), while the home team had 0.4 goals by half-time (3 goals). The home team, however, dominate after the break: in the same 5 matches they won the second half in 60% and scored an average of 1.4 goals after the break, registering an average of 2.0 points in second halves. The away team concedes many goals immediately after the restart — 4 goals in minutes 46–60 — which favors home turnarounds. Season-wide, in 100% of matches both home and away teams scored at least one goal (100% vs 100%), so I expect goals from both sides. On this basis the strongest signal is the away team leading at half-time and the home team winning the match (HT/FT 2/1), therefore I assign the highest probability to that option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Termez Surkhon | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Termez Surkhon · 1.58 goals / game - Dinamo Samarqand
Termez Surkhon is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.58 goals / game - Termez Surkhon · 1.83 goals / game - Dinamo Samarqand
Termez Surkhon scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 meczów), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 meczów).
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 meczów), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Termez Surkhon
Over / Under - Dinamo Samarqand
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Samarqand is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - Termez Surkhon · 1.75 pts / game - Dinamo Samarqand
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Termez Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Termez Surkhon | Liga | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.67 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 92% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Termez Surkhon's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Dinamo Samarqand. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Termez Surkhon 1:2 Dinamo Samarqand. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 0, Dinamo Samarqand won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Termez Surkhon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Dinamo Samarqand 1.58. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's.
What form are Termez Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand in?
Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dinamo Samarqand 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.