Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Termez Surkhon play Dinamo Samarqand in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 23 July 2026 at 17:00.
Current form
Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dinamo Samarqand: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.58 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Termez Surkhon 58%, Dinamo Samarqand 100%. Over 2.5: Termez Surkhon 50%, Dinamo Samarqand 92%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Samarqand has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.22. Termez Surkhon: 11.4 shots per match, Dinamo Samarqand: 11.8.
Match halves
Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75. Dinamo Samarqand: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (6 goals). Dinamo Samarqand: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Termez Surkhon | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.58 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Termez Surkhon is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.83 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Termez Surkhon scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
Over / Under — Dinamo Samarqand
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Samarqand is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.75 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Termez Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Termez Surkhon | Liga | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 92% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Termez Surkhon 0 - 0 - 2 Dinamo Samarqand. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Termez Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand play?
Termez Surkhon face Dinamo Samarqand on 23 July 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 0, Dinamo Samarqand won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Termez Surkhon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Dinamo Samarqand 1.58. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's.
What form are Termez Surkhon and Dinamo Samarqand in?
Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dinamo Samarqand 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.