Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor: match statistics
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Termez Surkhon play Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 16:15. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Pakhtakor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Pakhtakor scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Termez Surkhon 58%, Pakhtakor 69%. Over 2.5: Termez Surkhon 50%, Pakhtakor 54%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pakhtakor has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.22. Termez Surkhon: 11.4 shots per match, Pakhtakor: 13.4.
Match halves
Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75. Pakhtakor: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (6 goals). Pakhtakor: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I expect an away win (Pakhtakor) due to a clear superiority in results: 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss this season versus Termez’s 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. The visitors have scored 21 goals this season, the hosts 10; in the last 5 matches Pakhtakor scored 10 goals compared to Termez’s 5, and Pakhtakor’s form in that period is 4 wins and 1 draw, while Termez has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. Although Termez have a higher home average xG (1.43) than Pakhtakor’s away xG (1.21), the visitors are far more efficient — shot conversion 19% versus the hosts’ 7% — and Pakhtakor failed to score in 0% of away matches while Termez failed to score in 60% of home matches. Defensively Pakhtakor concedes 0.75 goals on average away, Termez 1.2 at home; the visitors have 50% clean sheets away versus 20% for the hosts, and despite Termez’s higher possession (57% vs 53%) shots on target are similar (3.2 vs 3.25). Given the advantage in forward efficiency, better goal numbers and form (Pakhtakor collected 13 points in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 pts per match, while Termez have 4 points, averaging 0.8 pts), I tip an away win; estimated probabilities: home 10%, draw 20%, away 70%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Termez Surkhon | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pakhtakor is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.8 pts / match - Pakhtakor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pakhtakor is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.92 goals / match - Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.08 goals / match - Pakhtakor
Termez Surkhon scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Pakhtakor scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
Over / Under — Pakhtakor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pakhtakor is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.85 pts / match - Pakhtakor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Termez Surkhon
Pakhtakor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Termez Surkhon | Liga | Pakhtakor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Termez Surkhon 1 - 0 - 1 Pakhtakor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Termez Surkhon 1:1 Pakhtakor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Pakhtakor?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 1, Pakhtakor won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor?
Termez Surkhon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Pakhtakor 1.92. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 69% of Pakhtakor's.
What form are Termez Surkhon and Pakhtakor in?
Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Pakhtakor 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.