Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum: match statistics
Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Termez Surkhon play Qizilqum in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Termez Surkhon: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Qizilqum: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Termez Surkhon scores 1.00 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Qizilqum scores 0.73 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Termez Surkhon 55%, Qizilqum 27%. Over 2.5: Termez Surkhon 45%, Qizilqum 36%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Termez Surkhon has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.18. Termez Surkhon: 11.2 shots per match, Qizilqum: 9.9.
Match halves
Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Qizilqum: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (5 goals). Qizilqum: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Termez Surkhon appears to be the favorite: they sit 10th in the table versus Qizilqum’s 14th and have a better run in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), which translates to an average of 1.6 points per match with 5 goals scored in that period; Qizilqum has only 0.6 points per match and 3 goals in their last five fixtures. In attack the hosts have scored 6 goals this season and at home average 1.00 goal with 13.67 shots and 2.33 on target per game, while the visitors away average 0.67 goals with 11.33 shots and 2.67 on target; however both teams have a high percentage of goalless games (67%), which limits the expected total goals. Defensively the seasonal average conceded for both teams is 1.33 goals per match, but in the last 5 games Qizilqum have conceded 10 goals versus only 4 conceded by Termez, indicating a clear deterioration in the visitors’ defensive form. Additionally xG favors the hosts (1.36 vs 1.23), and a possession edge of 50% vs 40% along with a higher shot volume suggest Termez will dictate the tempo and create more chances, therefore I tip a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Termez Surkhon | Qizilqum | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qizilqum is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.4 pts / match - Qizilqum
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Termez Surkhon is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 0.73 goals / match - Qizilqum
Qizilqum is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.36 goals / match - Qizilqum
Termez Surkhon scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Qizilqum keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Qizilqum scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
Over / Under — Qizilqum
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qizilqum is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.18 pts / match - Qizilqum
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qizilqum - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Termez Surkhon
Qizilqum
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Termez Surkhon | Liga | Qizilqum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Termez Surkhon 0 - 1 - 1 Qizilqum. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Termez Surkhon 0:1 Qizilqum. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Qizilqum?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 0, Qizilqum won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum?
Termez Surkhon score 1.00 goals per game on average and Qizilqum 0.73. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 27% of Qizilqum's.
What form are Termez Surkhon and Qizilqum in?
Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Qizilqum 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.