Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueOKMK Sport MajmuasiData current as of October 14, 2026

Termez Surkhon vs Xorazm: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Termez Surkhon vs Xorazm: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Termez Surkhon plays Xorazm in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: OKMK Sport Majmuasi.

Recent form

Termez Surkhon has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Xorazm has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Termez Surkhon scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.22. Xorazm scores 0.87 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Termez Surkhon's games and 48% of Xorazm's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 43%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Termez Surkhon has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.12 per game. Termez Surkhon takes 11.0 shots per game, while Xorazm takes 8.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Termez Surkhon leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Xorazm leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Termez Surkhon's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Xorazm, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Termez SurkhonXorazm
0.83Goals scored / game0.87
Termez SurkhonXorazm
1.22Goals allowed / game1.48
Termez SurkhonXorazm
56%Average possession48%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
3.17Shots on target / game3
Termez SurkhonXorazm

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11Shots per game8.65
Termez SurkhonXorazm
3.17Shots on target3
Termez SurkhonXorazm
7.5%Shot conversion10.1%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
56%Possession48%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
1.27xG for1.12
Termez SurkhonXorazm
1.46xG against1.66
Termez SurkhonXorazm

Shooting quality

Termez Surkhon: BalancedXorazm: Balanced
Termez SurkhonXorazm
Accuracy (shots on target)29%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Termez Surkhon is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Termez Surkhon · 0.4 pts / game - Xorazm

Termez Surkhon
DWLWD
Season result split
30% W26% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-10
1.17 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Xorazm
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W30% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-11
0.96 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Xorazm is 5% better for: goals scored per game.

0.83 goals / game - Termez Surkhon · 0.87 goals / game - Xorazm

Termez Surkhon is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.22 goals / game - Termez Surkhon · 1.48 goals / game - Xorazm

Termez Surkhon scoring profile: strong

Termez Surkhon scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 games), while Xorazm keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 games).

Xorazm scoring profile: strong

Xorazm scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 games), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 games).

19Goals scored (season)20
Termez SurkhonXorazm
28Goals conceded (season)34
Termez SurkhonXorazm
2.04Average goals per game2.35
Termez SurkhonXorazm
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Termez SurkhonXorazm
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
Termez SurkhonXorazm

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal65%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
17%2 goals22%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
4%3 goals0%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0%4 goals0%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal74%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
30%2 goals48%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
17%3 goals17%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
4%4 goals4%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time26%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0%Scored in both halves17%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
20%BTTS - last 540%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Xorazm is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.96 pts / game - Termez Surkhon · 1.13 pts / game - Xorazm

Termez Surkhon - half-time state
17% leading43% draw39% trailing
Xorazm - half-time state
22% leading48% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.96Points per game (1st half)1.13
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0.26Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0.78Average goals (1st half)1.17
Termez SurkhonXorazm
57%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
83%No goal before half-time57%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)0.96
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Termez SurkhonXorazm
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Termez SurkhonXorazm
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Termez SurkhonXorazm
57%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Termez SurkhonXorazm
57%No goal after half-time61%
Termez SurkhonXorazm

Termez Surkhon - second-half results

30% W39% D30% L
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Xorazm - second-half results

22% W30% D48% L
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Termez Surkhon - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game0.60.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Xorazm - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.60.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Termez Surkhon
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Xorazm
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
7
16-30
6
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
8
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.20
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Termez Surkhon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Xorazm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

Termez SurkhonLigaXorazm
Average goals per game▼ 2.042.71▼ 2.35
Both teams scored▼ 43%55%▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 39%55%▼ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 35%26%• 26%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%68%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 65%77%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Termez Surkhon's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Xorazm. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Xorazm
1 : 0
Termez Surkhon
Xorazm FK Urganch
2 : 2
Termez Surkhon
Termez Surkhon
0 : 2
Xorazm FK Urganch

FAQ

When do Termez Surkhon and Xorazm play?

Termez Surkhon face Xorazm on October 16, 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Xorazm?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 0, Xorazm won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Xorazm?

Termez Surkhon score 0.83 goals per game on average and Xorazm 0.87. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 48% of Xorazm's.

What form are Termez Surkhon and Xorazm in?

Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Xorazm 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Xorazm?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.