Ternana vs Forlì: match statistics
Ternana clearly dominates in this clash, particularly in terms of home form and overall effectiveness. The hosts present an impressive record of 58% matches won at home, with a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Forlì has just 23% wins away and a negative balance of -9. A key factor is also the form over the last five meetings – Ternana earns an average of 2 points per match with a record of three victories, while Forlì earns just 1 point with only one victory. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.92 xG For vs 1.18 xG Against in home matches), which suggests a qualitative advantage. Additionally, Forlì fails to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Ternana's solid defense (33% clean sheets), could be decisive. All statistical indicators unambiguously point to Ternana as the decided favorite.
Ternana vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ternana played against Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on February 23, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Ternana has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Forlì has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ternana scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.88. Forlì scores 1.20 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Ternana's games and 52% of Forlì's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 44%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ternana has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.54 per game. Ternana takes 11.3 shots per game, while Forlì takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Ternana leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Forlì leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ternana's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Forlì, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ternana clearly dominates in this clash, particularly in terms of home form and overall effectiveness. The hosts present an impressive record of 58% matches won at home, with a positive goal difference of +5 in home matches, while Forlì has just 23% wins away and a negative balance of -9. A key factor is also the form over the last five meetings – Ternana earns an average of 2 points per match with a record of three victories, while Forlì earns just 1 point with only one victory. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.92 xG For vs 1.18 xG Against in home matches), which suggests a qualitative advantage. Additionally, Forlì fails to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Ternana's solid defense (33% clean sheets), could be decisive. All statistical indicators unambiguously point to Ternana as the decided favorite.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ternana | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ternana is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ternana · 1 pts / game - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Ternana · 1.44 goals / game - Forlì
Ternana scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 meczów).
Forlì scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ternana
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ternana is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Ternana · 1.2 pts / game - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ternana
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ternana | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.08 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 38% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Ternana's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Forlì. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ternana vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ternana 2:1 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ternana vs Forlì?
Ternana score 1.20 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.20. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ternana's matches and 52% of Forlì's.
What form are Ternana and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Ternana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ternana vs Forlì?
The statistical background for Ternana vs Forlì — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.