Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of September 07, 2026

Ternana vs Gubbio: match statistics

Ternana crest
Ternana
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Gubbio crest
Gubbio
155%(1.70)
X30%(3.20)
215%(4.80)

Ternana are in significantly better form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and collecting an impressive 2.4 points per game on average. The hosts are very effective at home, winning 57% of their home games and averaging 1.43 goals per match, with only 14% of their home fixtures ending without a goal. Gubbio, despite decent recent form, struggles to score away from home (43% of away matches without a goal, averaging only 0.71 goals per game), making them a relatively non-threatening attacking force. Furthermore, xG statistics highlight Ternana's superiority (1.91 xG For vs Gubbio's 1.18 xG For away), confirming the qualitative difference between the sides. Considering all factors, Ternana should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points, although Gubbio's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) could make this a closely contested match.

Ternana vs Gubbio: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ternana played against Gubbio in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Ternana has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Gubbio has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Ternana scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.00. Gubbio scores 0.86 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Ternana's games and 36% of Gubbio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 11%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ternana has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.19 per game. Ternana takes 11.6 shots per game, while Gubbio takes 9.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Ternana leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Gubbio leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ternana's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Gubbio, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Ternana are in significantly better form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and collecting an impressive 2.4 points per game on average. The hosts are very effective at home, winning 57% of their home games and averaging 1.43 goals per match, with only 14% of their home fixtures ending without a goal. Gubbio, despite decent recent form, struggles to score away from home (43% of away matches without a goal, averaging only 0.71 goals per game), making them a relatively non-threatening attacking force. Furthermore, xG statistics highlight Ternana's superiority (1.91 xG For vs Gubbio's 1.18 xG For away), confirming the qualitative difference between the sides. Considering all factors, Ternana should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points, although Gubbio's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) could make this a closely contested match.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

64Possession (%)36
TernanaGubbio
20Shots8
TernanaGubbio
5Shots on target3
TernanaGubbio
2.42xG1.05
TernanaGubbio
1Corners0
TernanaGubbio
110Dangerous attacks45
TernanaGubbio
7Fouls11
TernanaGubbio
2Cards0
TernanaGubbio

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.29Goals scored / game0.86
TernanaGubbio
1Goals allowed / game0.75
TernanaGubbio
50%Average possession47%
TernanaGubbio
3.79Shots on target / game3.18
TernanaGubbio

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.57Shots per game9.21
TernanaGubbio
3.79Shots on target3.18
TernanaGubbio
11.1%Shot conversion9.3%
TernanaGubbio
50%Possession47%
TernanaGubbio
1.56xG for1.19
TernanaGubbio
1.2xG against1.45
TernanaGubbio

Shooting quality

Ternana: BalancedGubbio: Balanced
TernanaGubbio
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ternana is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Ternana · 2 pts / game - Gubbio

Ternana
WWWLW
Season result split
46% W29% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-7
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Gubbio
WDLWW
Season result split
32% W43% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-7
1.39 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ternana is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - Ternana · 0.86 goals / game - Gubbio

Gubbio is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Ternana · 0.75 goals / game - Gubbio

Ternana scoring profile: strong

Ternana scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 meczów).

Gubbio scoring profile: strong

Gubbio scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).

36Goals scored (season)24
TernanaGubbio
28Goals conceded (season)21
TernanaGubbio
2.29Average goals per game1.61
TernanaGubbio
11Goals scored (last 5)5
TernanaGubbio
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
TernanaGubbio

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal64%
TernanaGubbio
46%2 goals14%
TernanaGubbio
7%3 goals7%
TernanaGubbio
0%4 goals0%
TernanaGubbio

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal61%
TernanaGubbio
21%2 goals11%
TernanaGubbio
7%3 goals4%
TernanaGubbio
4%4 goals0%
TernanaGubbio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time18%
TernanaGubbio
7%BTTS in both halves4%
TernanaGubbio
39%Scored in both halves11%
TernanaGubbio

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS7%
TernanaGubbio
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
TernanaGubbio
60%BTTS - last 540%
TernanaGubbio

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
TernanaGubbio
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
TernanaGubbio
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
TernanaGubbio

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
TernanaGubbio
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time11%
TernanaGubbio
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
TernanaGubbio

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ternana is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / game - Ternana · 1.21 pts / game - Gubbio

Ternana - half-time state
25% leading57% draw18% trailing
Gubbio - half-time state
21% leading57% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per game (1st half)1.21
TernanaGubbio
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.46
TernanaGubbio
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
TernanaGubbio
1.04Average goals (1st half)0.86
TernanaGubbio
64%Clean sheet before half-time61%
TernanaGubbio
50%No goal before half-time64%
TernanaGubbio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per game (2nd half)1.39
TernanaGubbio
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
TernanaGubbio
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
TernanaGubbio
1.25Average goals (2nd half)0.75
TernanaGubbio
57%Clean sheet after half-time71%
TernanaGubbio
36%No goal after half-time61%
TernanaGubbio

Ternana - second-half results

46% W25% R29% P
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding184%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gubbio - second-half results

32% W43% R25% P
34
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ternana - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.80
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gubbio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ternana
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
3
16-30
6
6
31-45
6
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Gubbio
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
3
1
16-30
6
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.95
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+208%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ternana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Gubbio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

TernanaLigaGubbio
Average goals per game 2.292.26 1.61
Both teams scored 50%49% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%39% 11%
Clean sheets 32%30% 39%
Goal before half-time 61%63% 57%
Goal after half-time 86%71% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TernanaYellow cardŽan Majer
  2. TernanaYellow cardJonathan Alexis Ferrante
  3. TernanaSubstitutionOn: Filippo TripiOff: Adi Kurti
  4. GubbioSubstitutionOn: Nicolo FazziOff: Federico Carraro
  5. TernanaSubstitutionOn: Mattia AramuOff: Marco Garetto

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Ternana's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Gubbio. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Gubbio
3 : 3
Ternana

FAQ

What was the result of Ternana vs Gubbio?

The Serie C Group B match finished Ternana 0:1 Gubbio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ternana vs Gubbio?

Ternana score 1.29 goals per game on average and Gubbio 0.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ternana's matches and 36% of Gubbio's.

What form are Ternana and Gubbio in?

Over the last 5 games Ternana have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Gubbio 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ternana vs Gubbio?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ternana vs Gubbio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.