Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of September 13, 2026

Ternana vs Livorno: match statistics

Ternana crest
Ternana
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Livorno crest
Livorno
165%(1.63)
X22%(3.40)
213%(5.20)

Ternana displays decidedly better home form with a 56% win rate and a solid goal difference (+4). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals while conceding just 4. Livorno has disastrous away statistics – a 75% loss rate, averaging only 0.38 goals scored on the road, and a dismal goal difference (-11). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 63% of away matches, which, combined with Ternana's home efficiency (averaging 1.33 goals per match), positions the hosts as the clear favorite. The advantage in possession (51% vs 46%), higher xG (1.75 vs 1.31), and better shot conversion further support a Ternana victory.

Ternana vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ternana played against Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Ternana has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Livorno has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Ternana scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 0.89. Livorno scores 0.89 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Ternana's games and 44% of Livorno's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 56%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ternana has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.31 per game. Ternana takes 10.9 shots per game, while Livorno takes 10.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Ternana leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Livorno leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.56 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ternana's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Livorno, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Ternana displays decidedly better home form with a 56% win rate and a solid goal difference (+4). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals while conceding just 4. Livorno has disastrous away statistics – a 75% loss rate, averaging only 0.38 goals scored on the road, and a dismal goal difference (-11). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 63% of away matches, which, combined with Ternana's home efficiency (averaging 1.33 goals per match), positions the hosts as the clear favorite. The advantage in possession (51% vs 46%), higher xG (1.75 vs 1.31), and better shot conversion further support a Ternana victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
TernanaLivorno
14Shots9
TernanaLivorno
5Shots on target4
TernanaLivorno
1.88xG1.63
TernanaLivorno
2Corners4
TernanaLivorno
88Dangerous attacks106
TernanaLivorno
14Fouls14
TernanaLivorno
2Cards2
TernanaLivorno

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.11Goals scored / game0.89
TernanaLivorno
0.89Goals allowed / game1.5
TernanaLivorno
49%Average possession46%
TernanaLivorno
3.56Shots on target / game3.22
TernanaLivorno

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.94Shots per game10.44
TernanaLivorno
3.56Shots on target3.22
TernanaLivorno
10.2%Shot conversion8.5%
TernanaLivorno
49%Possession46%
TernanaLivorno
1.5xG for1.31
TernanaLivorno
1.17xG against1.52
TernanaLivorno

Shooting quality

Ternana: BalancedLivorno: Balanced
TernanaLivorno
Accuracy (shots on target)33%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ternana is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Ternana · 1.8 pts / game - Livorno

Ternana
WLWWD
Season result split
39% W39% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-4
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Livorno
DWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
28% W22% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-9
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ternana is 25% better for: goals scored per game.

1.11 goals / game - Ternana · 0.89 goals / game - Livorno

Ternana is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.89 goals / game - Ternana · 1.5 goals / game - Livorno

Ternana scoring profile: very strong

Ternana scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).

Livorno scoring profile: mixed

Livorno scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)16
TernanaLivorno
16Goals conceded (season)27
TernanaLivorno
2Average goals per game2.39
TernanaLivorno
6Goals scored (last 5)8
TernanaLivorno
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
TernanaLivorno

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal56%
TernanaLivorno
33%2 goals28%
TernanaLivorno
6%3 goals6%
TernanaLivorno
0%4 goals0%
TernanaLivorno

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
TernanaLivorno
17%2 goals50%
TernanaLivorno
6%3 goals22%
TernanaLivorno
0%4 goals0%
TernanaLivorno

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time6%
TernanaLivorno
6%BTTS in both halves0%
TernanaLivorno
33%Scored in both halves17%
TernanaLivorno

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
TernanaLivorno
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
TernanaLivorno
40%BTTS - last 580%
TernanaLivorno

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
TernanaLivorno
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
TernanaLivorno
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
TernanaLivorno

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
TernanaLivorno
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
TernanaLivorno
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
TernanaLivorno

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Livorno is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / game - Ternana · 1.28 pts / game - Livorno

Ternana - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing
Livorno - half-time state
28% leading44% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per game (1st half)1.28
TernanaLivorno
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.33
TernanaLivorno
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
TernanaLivorno
0.94Average goals (1st half)0.94
TernanaLivorno
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
TernanaLivorno
56%No goal before half-time67%
TernanaLivorno

After half-time (2nd half)

1.72Points per game (2nd half)0.94
TernanaLivorno
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
TernanaLivorno
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
TernanaLivorno
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.44
TernanaLivorno
61%Clean sheet after half-time28%
TernanaLivorno
39%No goal after half-time61%
TernanaLivorno

Ternana - second-half results

44% W39% D17% L
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding177%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Livorno - second-half results

22% W28% D50% L
23
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ternana - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Livorno - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ternana
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Livorno
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
8
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.20
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ternana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Livorno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

TernanaLigaLivorno
Average goals per game 2.002.28 2.39
Both teams scored 50%48% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 28%37% 56%
Clean sheets 33%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 56%60% 61%
Goal after half-time 78%73% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / game
1.05
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LivornoGoalKevin Biondi
  2. LivornoYellow cardLorenzo Panaioli
  3. TernanaSubstitutionOn: Mattia ProiettiOff: Marcelo Orellana
  4. TernanaYellow cardMattia Proietti
  5. TernanaYellow cardMarco Garetto
  6. TernanaSubstitutionOn: Giuseppe LoiaconoOff: Alessio Maestrelli
  7. LivornoYellow cardLuca Bonassi
  8. LivornoSubstitutionOn: Jacopo MarinariOff: Federico Dionisi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Ternana's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Livorno. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Livorno
1 : 0
Ternana

FAQ

What was the result of Ternana vs Livorno?

The Serie C Group B match finished Ternana 2:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ternana vs Livorno?

Ternana score 1.11 goals per game on average and Livorno 0.89. The Serie C Group B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ternana's matches and 44% of Livorno's.

What form are Ternana and Livorno in?

Over the last 5 games Ternana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Livorno 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ternana vs Livorno?

The statistical background for Ternana vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.