Tersana vs La Viena FC: match statistics

Tersana sit higher in the table, in 5th place compared with La Viena FC in 12th, and remain unbeaten in their last five matches. The hosts have collected 9 points during this period, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while the visitors have earned 8 points and suffered one defeat. La Viena FC have indeed shown the more solid defense over their last five games, conceding just 2 goals compared with Tersana’s 4, but a one-goal defensive advantage does not outweigh the benefit of home advantage. Both teams have been similarly effective in front of goal, with Tersana scoring 7 goals recently and La Viena 8, making a draw a realistic outcome. However, Tersana have a slightly better chance of winning thanks to their higher league position, unbeaten run, and superior points return in their current form.

BTTS - No is the slightly stronger pick, as La Viena FC had BTTS in only 20% of their last five matches, compared with the league average of 50%. Although the visitors have recently averaged 1.6 goals scored, they have conceded just 0.4 goals per match, or only 2 goals in five appearances. Tersana averaged 1.4 goals scored in their last five matches, but their xG was only 0.99, which limits confidence in them scoring consistently. Both teams have been defending fairly effectively lately, while the league-wide average is just 2.0 goals per match. The most likely outcome is therefore one in which at least one side fails to find the net.

Tersana’s last five matches produced an average of 2.2 goals per game, with 1.4 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded. Over the same period, La Viena FC averaged 1.6 goals scored but conceded only 0.4, while their five matches produced an average total of 2.0 goals. For both teams, only 40% of their last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, whereas the league average is just 2.0 goals and only 30% of matches finish with three or more goals. The attacking potential remains sufficient for approximately 2.20 goals, particularly as the average xG over the last five matches stands at 0.99 for Tersana and 1.32 for La Viena FC, but both sides’ solid defensive records limit the risk of four goals being scored. Therefore, the strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a La Viena win after the match, as both teams were level at the break in 60% of their last five fixtures. Tersana have looked stronger before half-time, averaging 1.2 goals compared with La Viena’s 0.6, but the visitors conceded no goals during this period on average per match and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of those appearances. After the interval, the advantage shifts to La Viena, who averaged 1.0 goals compared with Tersana’s mere 0.2, while the hosts failed to score in the second half in 80% of their recent matches. Tersana remain unbeaten in five games, although 60% of those ended in draws, whereas La Viena won 40% of their matches and have a positive second-half goal difference of +3, increasing the likelihood of the visitors completing the turnaround after the break.