The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

The New Saints played against Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on November 28, 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

The New Saints has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Caernarfon Town has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

The New Saints scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 0.88. Caernarfon Town scores 2.29 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of The New Saints's games and 76% of Caernarfon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 76% and 71%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The New Saints has the higher season xG average, 2.15 to 1.59 per game. The New Saints takes 16.8 shots per game, while Caernarfon Town takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

The New Saints leads at halftime in 76% of its games and scores 1.65 goals per game after halftime. Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 24% and scores 1.65 after halftime.

When the teams score

The New Saints's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Caernarfon Town, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
22Shots2
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
8Shots on target2
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
2.68xG0.63
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
8Corners2
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
101Dangerous attacks48
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
5Fouls9
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
0Cards2
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
3Goals scored / game2.29
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
0.88Goals allowed / game1.47
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
67%Average possession54%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
7Shots on target / game5.47
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.82Shots per game12.76
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
7Shots on target5.47
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
17.8%Shot conversion18%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
67%Possession54%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
2.15xG for1.59
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
0.94xG against1.45
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

Shooting quality

The New Saints: DominantCaernarfon Town: Efficient finishing
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
Accuracy (shots on target)42%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

The New Saints is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - The New Saints · 1.8 pts / game - Caernarfon Town

The New Saints
WWWLW
Season result split
76% W12% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-2
2.41 pts / game · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-0-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.40Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Caernarfon Town
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W29% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

The New Saints is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

3 goals / game - The New Saints · 2.29 goals / game - Caernarfon Town

The New Saints is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.88 goals / game - The New Saints · 1.47 goals / game - Caernarfon Town

The New Saints scoring profile: very strong

The New Saints scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).

Caernarfon Town scoring profile: strong

Caernarfon Town scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).

51Goals scored (season)39
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
15Goals conceded (season)25
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
3.88Average goals per game3.76
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
18Goals scored (last 5)11
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal88%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
82%2 goals65%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
65%3 goals29%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
35%4 goals24%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

How often they concede at least...

47%1 goal88%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
29%2 goals47%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
12%3 goals12%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
0%4 goals0%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time29%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
6%BTTS in both halves6%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
71%Scored in both halves41%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
41%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
60%BTTS - last 580%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time76%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

The New Saints is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.41 pts / game - The New Saints · 1.06 pts / game - Caernarfon Town

The New Saints - half-time state
76% leading12% draw12% trailing
Caernarfon Town - half-time state
24% leading35% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.41Points per game (1st half)1.06
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
1.35Goals scored (1st half)0.65
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.53
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
76%Clean sheet before half-time35%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
24%No goal before half-time59%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

After half-time (2nd half)

2.18Points per game (2nd half)2.06
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
1.65Goals scored (2nd half)1.65
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
2.24Average goals (2nd half)2.24
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
59%Clean sheet after half-time59%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
18%No goal after half-time12%
The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

The New Saints - second-half results

65% W24% D12% L
41
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 76% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

59% W29% D12% L
18
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding196%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

The New Saints - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.40
Goals scored / game1.62.0
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game2.03.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+6+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8
Caernarfon Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.61.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

The New Saints
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
8
3
16-30
8
2
31-45
11
2
46-60
8
3
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
8
1
46-60
10
2
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.82
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

The New Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

The New SaintsLigaCaernarfon Town
Average goals per game 3.883.09 3.76
Both teams scored 41%49% 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 76%58% 71%
Clean sheets 53%30% 12%
Goal before half-time 88%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 88%72% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Caernarfon TownYellow cardDominic Smith
  2. Caernarfon TownSubstitutionOn: Osebi AbadakiOff: Connor Salisbury
  3. Caernarfon TownYellow cardConnor Roberts
  4. Caernarfon TownSubstitutionOn: Osian EllisOff: Sam Downey
  5. The New SaintsGoalBen Clark
  6. The New SaintsSubstitutionOn: Adrian CieślewiczOff: Ben Clark
  7. Caernarfon TownSubstitutionOn: Cai Morgan GriffithOff: Darren Thomas
  8. The New SaintsSubstitutionOn: Harrison McGaheyOff: Joshua Tracey
  9. The New SaintsGoalJordan Williams

Head-to-head

Record from The New Saints's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Caernarfon Town. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Caernarfon Town FC
1 : 3
The New Saints FC

FAQ

What was the result of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?

The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 2:0 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?

The New Saints score 3.00 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 2.29. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 41% of The New Saints's matches and 76% of Caernarfon Town's.

What form are The New Saints and Caernarfon Town in?

Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?

The statistical background for The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.