The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
The New Saints are the clear favorites for this encounter, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with an 80% win rate at home, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Their advantage in possession (69%) and clinicality (19% shot conversion) significantly surpass Colwyn Bay's metrics. The visitors, despite decent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), have distinctly weaker away stats: only 40% away wins, 40% of matches failing to score, and an average of 1.1 goals scored per match. The difference in Expected Goals (xG For: 2.26 vs 1.5) and goal difference (+23 vs +3) clearly point to the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistical parameters, a victory for The New Saints is the most probable scenario.
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
The New Saints played against Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 13, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
The New Saints has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Colwyn Bay has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
The New Saints scores 2.76 goals per game and allows 0.90. Colwyn Bay scores 1.38 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of The New Saints's games and 52% of Colwyn Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 43%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The New Saints has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 1.50 per game. The New Saints takes 16.3 shots per game, while Colwyn Bay takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
The New Saints leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.57 goals per game after halftime. Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
The New Saints's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Colwyn Bay, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The New Saints are the clear favorites for this encounter, sitting in 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The hosts display dominant home form with an 80% win rate at home, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Their advantage in possession (69%) and clinicality (19% shot conversion) significantly surpass Colwyn Bay's metrics. The visitors, despite decent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), have distinctly weaker away stats: only 40% away wins, 40% of matches failing to score, and an average of 1.1 goals scored per match. The difference in Expected Goals (xG For: 2.26 vs 1.5) and goal difference (+23 vs +3) clearly point to the hosts' advantage. Considering all statistical parameters, a victory for The New Saints is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| The New Saints | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
The New Saints is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - The New Saints · 1.2 pts / game - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The New Saints is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
2.76 goals / game - The New Saints · 1.38 goals / game - Colwyn Bay
The New Saints is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.9 goals / game - The New Saints · 1.14 goals / game - Colwyn Bay
The New Saints scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Colwyn Bay scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - The New Saints
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
The New Saints is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / game - The New Saints · 1.52 pts / game - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
The New Saints - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| The New Saints | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.67 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from The New Saints's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Colwyn Bay. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished The New Saints 1:0 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The New Saints score 2.76 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 43% of The New Saints's matches and 52% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are The New Saints and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games The New Saints have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.