Thór vs Breidablik: match statistics
Thór vs Breidablik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Thór played Breidablik in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 4 August 2026. Venue: Þórsvöllur. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Thór: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Breidablik: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Thór scores 1.06 and concedes 2.63 goals per match. Breidablik scores 2.19 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Thór 63%, Breidablik 69%. Over 2.5: Thór 69%, Breidablik 69%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Breidablik has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.18. Thór: 10.6 shots per match, Breidablik: 13.8.
Match halves
Thór: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.69. Breidablik: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.31.
Goals by minute
Thór: 76-90+ (5 goals). Breidablik: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.97 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breidablik is the clear favorite: they sit 4th in the table versus Thór’s 12th, and the season goal tally is 35 for Breidablik against 17 for the hosts. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals each, but Thór conceded as many as 14 goals (2.8 per game) while Breidablik conceded only 2 (0.4 per game). The visitors also generate higher-quality chances: average xG away is 1.57 versus 1.22 xG for Thór at home, and higher possession 52% vs 41%, which correlates with more shots (13 vs 11) and more shots on target (4 vs 3.5). Defensively the hosts struggle — they concede on average 2.25 goals per home game and have only 13% clean sheets, whereas Breidablik concede 1.75 goals away and have 25% clean sheets, giving the visitors an advantage in defensive stability. Considering form (Breidablik 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5, averaging 2.6 points per game versus Thór’s 1 point) and the superiority in xG and possession, I predict an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators strongly favor BTTS: Thór has BTTS at 63%, Breidablik 75%, and the league average is 72%, indicating matches in this league often end with goals from both sides. Thór scores 2.63 goals per game with xG 1.79, averages 5.63 shots on target and has a conversion rate of 18%, while conceding an average of 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches — a strong signal that opponents can score against them. Breidablik seasonally scores 1.75 goals (xG 1.57) and concedes 1.75 goals with opponents’ expected xG 1.99, and 35 goals scored this season confirm their offensive potential. The counterpoint is that in the last 5 matches Breidablik conceded only 0.4 goals and had BTTS in 40% of those games, suggesting a short-term defensive improvement. Still, the weight of seasonal signals (63%/75% for the teams and 72% league-wide) and Thór’s ability to create and convert chances leads me to back BTTS "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combination of xG and historical averages yields expected goals: xG Thór 1.79 versus Breidablik defensive xG 1.99 → 1.89 expected goals for the home side, and xG Breidablik 1.57 versus Thór defensive xG 1.71 → 1.64 for the away side; averaging this with historical averages (Thór scores 2.63, Breidablik concedes 1.75) gives final figures of 2.04 for Thór and 1.63 for Breidablik, total 3.67. A Poisson model with λ=3.67 estimates roughly an 88% probability for Over 1.5 goals, about 71% for Over 2.5 goals and around 50% for Over 3.5 goals. This season Thór has had Over 2.5 in 75% of matches, Breidablik in 63%, and the league average for Over 2.5 is 71%, supporting a tendency toward results above 2.5 goals; on the other hand in the last 5 matches Thór concedes an average of 2.8 goals while Breidablik concedes only 0.4, which increases volatility in the home defense. Both teams have high BTTS rates (Thór 63%, Breidablik 75%) and a significant number of shots (14.63 vs 13.0) plus a home scoring efficiency edge (18% vs 13%), therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Thór has a clear home advantage: a seasonal win rate of 75% and an average of 2.38 goals per match versus Breidablik’s 1.25. At half-time the hosts led in 50% of matches with an average of 1.0 goals scored by the break and conceding only 0.5, while Breidablik lead at the break in 25% of games and average 0.75 goals before half-time. Additionally, Thór generates more chances (on average 14.63 shots and 5.63 on target) and has superior finishing (18% vs 13%), and xG of 1.79 compared to 1.57 also favors the hosts to maintain the lead. Although Breidablik have a strong recent run (80% wins in the last five), in those five matches they did not lead at half-time (0% HT leads) and averaged no goals before the break (0.0), which weakens their chances of taking the lead by half-time. Considering these figures, the strongest signal is Thór leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1 — 42%); alternatives are a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1 — 15%) or draw/draw (X/X — 8%), while guest turnarounds are assessed as less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Thór | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Breidablik is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Thór · 2 pts / match - Breidablik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Thór · 2.19 goals / match - Breidablik
Breidablik is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.63 goals / match - Thór · 1.63 goals / match - Breidablik
Thór scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Breidablik scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Thór
Over / Under — Breidablik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Thór · 1.44 pts / match - Breidablik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thór - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Thór
Breidablik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Thór | Liga | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.69 | 3.97 | ▼ 3.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 16% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Thór 0 - 0 - 1 Breidablik. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Thór vs Breidablik?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Thór 1:0 Breidablik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Thór vs Breidablik?
Thór score 1.06 goals per game on average and Breidablik 2.19. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Thór's matches and 69% of Breidablik's.
What form are Thór and Breidablik in?
Over the last 5 games Thór have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Breidablik 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thór vs Breidablik?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Thór vs Breidablik: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.