Thór vs Valur: match statistics
Thór vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Thór played against Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on June 28, 2026. Venue: Þórsvöllur. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Thór has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Valur has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Thór scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 2.55. Valur scores 1.67 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 4.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Thór's games and 75% of Valur's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 75%, compared with league averages of 72% for BTTS and 72% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valur has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.19 per game. Thór takes 10.7 shots per game, while Valur takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Thór leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Valur leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Thór's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Valur, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 4.06 goals. Both teams score in 72% of games, and 72% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valur is the favorite: they sit 5th in the table versus Thór in 11th, and away they average 1.6 goals per game with a shot conversion of 14%, while Thór at home scores 0.8 with a 7% conversion. Despite similar offensive xG (Valur away xG 1.32 vs Thór home xG 1.29), Valur’s higher efficiency (14% vs 7%) indicates the visitors convert chances better. Defensively both concede frequently — Thór concedes 2.0 goals at home on average and has conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game), while Valur concedes 1.8 away and conceded 10 in the last 5 (2.0 per game) — which supports goals from both sides. Thór’s form is weaker (0.2 points per game in the last 5) versus Valur’s 0.8 and they register 80% losses at home, whereas Valur wins 40% of away matches; therefore I tip an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics clearly favor BTTS - Yes: Thór posts a season BTTS rate of 86% versus Valur's 60% and a league average of 72%, indicating frequent goals from both sides. Both teams defend poorly — Thór concedes 2.14 goals per game, Valur 1.8, and in the last 5 matches they conceded 2.2 and 2.0 respectively, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Attacks also present scoring chances: Thór scores 1.71 goals per game (xG 1.68), Valur 1.6 goals (xG 1.32), with both teams netting 4 goals each in their last 5 matches. Additionally, the league average goals is 4.06; Over 2.5 is 86% for Thór and 60% for Valur, and the Over 2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 71% of home matches, a strong indicator for both teams scoring. Low clean sheet frequency (Thór 14%, Valur 20%) and a higher number of shots on target (5.14 vs 4.0) reinforce this picture, therefore I recommend 'BTTS - Yes' with an estimated probability of ~75% vs 25% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects a total expected goals of 3.80: Thór xG ≈ (1.68 + 2.41)/2 = 2.05, Valur xG ≈ (1.32 + 2.19)/2 = 1.75. Thór averages 1.71 goals scored and concedes 2.14 per match, Valur scores 1.60 and concedes 1.80, which together indicate more scoring opportunities than average. Over 2.5 metrics are strong — Thór has 86% of matches >2.5, Valur 60%, and the league average for Over 2.5 is 72% — therefore I assess Over 2.5 at 75%. Over 1.5 is almost certain (Thór 100%, Valur 60%), so I rate it 90%, whereas Over 3.5 is riskier (Thór 43%, Valur 60%) and I assign it 48%, thus I recommend playing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Thór led at the break in 3 matches, corresponding to 43% of halftime performances, while Valur led only once (20%), so the hosts have a clear advantage in first-half statistics. In the first 45 minutes Thór averages 1.0 goal and 1.57 points at the break, whereas Valur averages 1.0 goal and 1.0 point at the break, and the visitors concede on average 1.4 goals before halftime. Over the whole match Thór posts higher xG (1.68 vs 1.32) and more shots on target (5.14 vs 4.0), while both teams allow a lot of chances (xG against 2.19 for Thór and 2.41 for Valur), which aligns with a high share of both-teams-to-score matches (BTTS 86% for the hosts, 60% for the visitors). Considering Thór’s advantage in halftime stats (43%), superior xG and greater shot volume, plus Valur’s similar but slightly weaker defensive record, the strongest signal is a host lead at the break and a host win at full-time (1/1). Therefore the model assigns a 32% probability to the 1/1 scenario, with smaller probabilities given to X/1 (12%) and X/X (10%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Thór | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Valur is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Thór · 0.8 pts / game - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 104% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - Thór · 1.67 goals / game - Valur
Valur is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.55 goals / game - Thór · 2 goals / game - Valur
Thór scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 meczów), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
Valur scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 meczów), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Thór
Over / Under - Valur
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 142% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.55 pts / game - Thór · 1.33 pts / game - Valur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thór - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Thór
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Thór | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.36 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 14% | ▲ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Thór's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Valur. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Thór vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Thór 2:4 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Thór vs Valur?
Thór score 0.82 goals per game on average and Valur 1.67. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Thór's matches and 75% of Valur's.
What form are Thór and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games Thór have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Valur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thór vs Valur?
The statistical background for Thór vs Valur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.