Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tigres UANL play Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tigres UANL: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Guadalajara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tigres UANL scores 1.79 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.75 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tigres UANL 57%, Guadalajara 53%. Over 2.5: Tigres UANL 50%, Guadalajara 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.64. Tigres UANL: 15.0 shots per match, Guadalajara: 16.1.
Match halves
Tigres UANL: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.12. Guadalajara: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Tigres UANL: 46-60 (17 goals). Guadalajara: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a Tigres win (1): the home side averages 2.25 goals scored and concedes only 0.75 per home match, while Guadalajara scores 1.39 and concedes 1.39 on the road. Tigres produce higher-quality chances: average home xG is 1.78 vs 1.53 for the visitors, with average shots on target 5.65 vs 4.28 and overall attempts 16.6 vs 14.44, indicating superiority in chance creation and finishing. Defensively the hosts record 50% clean sheets at home and a +30 goal differential on their stadium, whereas Guadalajara has only 22% clean sheets away and a zero goal differential outside their own ground. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 8 goals, but Tigres conceded 5 with an average points return of 1.6, while Guadalajara conceded 6 and averages 1.2 points per game, demonstrating greater points stability for the hosts. Based on this I assign a 65% probability to a Tigres win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an away win — Tigres’ key advantages are efficiency (2.25 goals per match vs 1.39) and better defense (0.75 conceded vs 1.39).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tigres UANL | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tigres UANL is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tigres UANL · 1 pts / match - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tigres UANL is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Tigres UANL · 1.23 goals / match - Guadalajara
Tigres UANL scores in 79% of matches (33 of 42 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Tigres UANL keeps a clean sheet in 33% (14 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tigres UANL
Over / Under — Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guadalajara is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Tigres UANL · 1.53 pts / match - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tigres UANL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tigres UANL | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.83 | 2.91 | • 2.98 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tigres UANL 1 - 1 - 1 Guadalajara. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Tigres UANL 3:1 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tigres UANL and Guadalajara?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tigres UANL won 1, Guadalajara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara?
Tigres UANL score 1.79 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.75. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Tigres UANL's matches and 53% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Tigres UANL and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Tigres UANL have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guadalajara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.