Tigres UANL vs Toluca: match statistics
Tigres UANL displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and an average of 2.23 goals per match at home, supporting the home advantage. Additionally, Tigres maintains a 54% clean sheet rate in home matches and achieves a higher average xG (1.97 vs 1.43), indicating better quality of chances created. Toluca, despite good form in the last five matches (2.4 PPG), has weaker away results with 42% of matches without a goal scored and lower offensive efficiency (1.58 goals on average). The home team's goal difference in home matches (+19) significantly surpasses the visitors' away goal difference (+10). Considering all factors, a Tigres victory is predicted, although Toluca's solid defense (0.75 goals conceded away) may make the task difficult for the hosts.
Tigres UANL vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tigres UANL played against Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 18, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Tigres UANL has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Toluca has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Tigres UANL scores 1.84 goals per game and allows 1.00. Toluca scores 2.16 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Tigres UANL's games and 56% of Toluca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 60%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.76 per game. Tigres UANL takes 16.1 shots per game, while Toluca takes 17.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Tigres UANL leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 1.12 goals per game after halftime. Toluca leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.16 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tigres UANL's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Toluca, it is minutes 46-60 (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tigres UANL displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and an average of 2.23 goals per match at home, supporting the home advantage. Additionally, Tigres maintains a 54% clean sheet rate in home matches and achieves a higher average xG (1.97 vs 1.43), indicating better quality of chances created. Toluca, despite good form in the last five matches (2.4 PPG), has weaker away results with 42% of matches without a goal scored and lower offensive efficiency (1.58 goals on average). The home team's goal difference in home matches (+19) significantly surpasses the visitors' away goal difference (+10). Considering all factors, a Tigres victory is predicted, although Toluca's solid defense (0.75 goals conceded away) may make the task difficult for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tigres UANL | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tigres UANL · 2.4 pts / game - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.84 goals / game - Tigres UANL · 2.16 goals / game - Toluca
Tigres UANL scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Toluca scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Tigres UANL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tigres UANL
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Tigres UANL · 1.64 pts / game - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tigres UANL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tigres UANL
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tigres UANL | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.84 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Tigres UANL's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toluca. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Tigres UANL 0:0 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tigres UANL and Toluca?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tigres UANL won 2, Toluca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
Tigres UANL score 1.84 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.16. The Liga MX average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Tigres UANL's matches and 56% of Toluca's.
What form are Tigres UANL and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Tigres UANL have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Toluca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tigres UANL vs Toluca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.