Tijuana vs Atlas: match statistics
Tijuana vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tijuana played against Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on September 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio Caliente. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Tijuana has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Atlas has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tijuana scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.25. Atlas scores 1.44 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Tijuana's games and 67% of Atlas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 44%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.32 per game. Tijuana takes 12.6 shots per game, while Atlas takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Tijuana leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Atlas leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tijuana's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Atlas, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tijuana have an excellent home record, winning 80% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Atlas allow opponents 1.75 goals per away game. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.46 compared to Atlas’s 1.27, and hold a clear advantage in shots, averaging 14.2 to 10.25 per match. However, Atlas are dangerous offensively away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals, finding the net in every away game and converting 20% of their shots, which gives them a strong chance of scoring. Recent form nevertheless favors Tijuana, who have collected 7 points from their last five matches compared to Atlas’s 5, while also winning 4 of their last 5 home fixtures. The hosts’ defensive edge and more consistent form point towards a narrow Tijuana victory, although an open game is likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as Tijuana has recorded BTTS in 80% of its matches this season, while Atlas has done so in 80% of its last five games. During this run, Tijuana has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, whereas Atlas has scored 1.4 goals and conceded 2.0, indicating regular chances at both ends. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season, while Atlas concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game, so Tijuana should have a solid chance of finding the net. Atlas is particularly dangerous offensively, averaging 2.0 goals this season and registering 4.75 shots on target per match compared with Tijuana’s 2.8. The xG from the last five matches stands at 1.47 for Tijuana and 1.46 for Atlas, making the BTTS - Yes scenario more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported, as at least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Tijuana’s matches and in 75% of Atlas’ matches. Tijuana have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Atlas score an average of 2.0 goals. The chance-quality model projects approximately 1.48 goals for the home side and 1.42 for the visitors, for a total of 2.90 goals. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 3.0 goals scored per game, while 60% of Tijuana’s matches and 80% of Atlas’ matches ended with both teams scoring. This clearly supports Over 1.5 goals, whereas the 2.5 and 3.5 lines remain more exposed to a scenario with exactly two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point, as Tijuana were level at the break in 60% of their home matches, while Atlas recorded the same outcome in 50% of their away fixtures. However, Atlas have a clear advantage in full-time results: they won 75% of their away matches, average 2.0 goals scored on the road and collect 2.25 points per game, compared with Tijuana’s 20% win rate and 1.0 points per home match. The second half is the key factor, with Atlas averaging 1.25 goals after the break, while Tijuana score just 0.2 and lose the second half in 60% of cases. The hosts also concede an average of 1.6 goals per match and have failed to keep a clean sheet, making a balanced start followed by an away win for Atlas after half-time the most logical scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tijuana | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tijuana is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tijuana · 1 pts / game - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tijuana is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Tijuana · 1.67 goals / game - Atlas
Tijuana scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
Atlas scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tijuana
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tijuana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tijuana
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tijuana | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tijuana's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlas. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tijuana vs Atlas?
The Liga MX match finished Tijuana 2:3 Atlas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tijuana and Atlas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 1, Atlas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tijuana vs Atlas?
Tijuana score 1.50 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.44. The Liga MX average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tijuana's matches and 67% of Atlas's.
What form are Tijuana and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Tijuana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlas 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tijuana vs Atlas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tijuana vs Atlas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


