Tijuana vs Puebla: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Tijuana vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tijuana plays Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio Caliente.
Recent form
Tijuana has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Puebla has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tijuana scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.40. Puebla scores 1.09 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Tijuana's games and 55% of Puebla's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 27%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Puebla has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.31 per game. Tijuana takes 12.4 shots per game, while Puebla takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Tijuana leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Puebla leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tijuana's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Puebla, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tijuana | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tijuana is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Tijuana · 1.09 goals / game - Puebla
Puebla is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Tijuana · 1.18 goals / game - Puebla
Tijuana scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).
Puebla scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tijuana
Over / Under - Puebla
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tijuana is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Tijuana · 1.27 pts / game - Puebla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tijuana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tijuana
Puebla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Tijuana | Liga | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.90 | 2.97 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 22% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tijuana's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Puebla. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Tijuana and Puebla play?
Tijuana face Puebla on October 17, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Caliente. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tijuana and Puebla?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 0, Puebla won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tijuana vs Puebla?
Tijuana score 1.50 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.09. The Liga MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Tijuana's matches and 55% of Puebla's.
What form are Tijuana and Puebla in?
Over the last 5 games Tijuana have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Puebla 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tijuana vs Puebla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.