Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: match statistics
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tirana played against Egnatia Rrogozhinë in Superliga (Albania). The game was played on April 12, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Tirana has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Egnatia Rrogozhinë has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tirana scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.40. Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores 1.23 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Tirana's games and 33% of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 30%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.11 per game. Tirana takes 8.2 shots per game, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Tirana leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Egnatia Rrogozhinë leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tirana's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Egnatia Rrogozhinë, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Superliga games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is the favorite for this match: they sit 2nd in the table versus Tirana in 9th and have 37 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 25. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 8 goals and remain unbeaten (2-3-0) averaging 1.8 points per match, while Tirana scored 5 goals in their last five (2-1-2) and average 1.4 points per match. Defensively Egnatia hold a clear advantage: they concede 0.73 goals on average away with 47% clean sheets, whereas Tirana concede 1.20 at home with 27% clean sheets; on the season that is 22 goals conceded by Egnatia versus 42 by Tirana. The quality of created chances is similar (avg xG 1.21 for Egnatia vs 1.19 for Tirana), but Tirana allow more high-value chances against (avg xG against 1.53 vs 1.22), which boosts the visitors’ prospects. Additionally Egnatia have higher possession (55% vs 48%), more shots on target per game (3.33 vs 3.07) and a lower share of matches without scoring (40% vs 47%), therefore I forecast a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick "no" because both teams have high clean sheet rates: 47% for Tirana and 47% for Egnatia, and season BTTS rates are below the league average (Tirana 40%, Egnatia 27% vs. league 45%). Seasonal goal averages show imbalance: Tirana scores 1.67 and concedes 0.73 per match, while Egnatia scores only 0.80 and concedes 0.73, so the visitors score less frequently across the season. xG indicates moderate chance creation for both sides (xG Tirana 1.61 vs xG conceded by Egnatia 1.22; xG Egnatia 1.21 vs xG conceded by Tirana 0.90) and Tirana has better efficiency (4.87 shots on target and 13% conversion vs 3.33 and 9% for Egnatia), which increases the likelihood of only the home side scoring. In the last 5 matches Tirana had BTTS in 20% of games, Egnatia in 40%, and away teams averaged 1.6 goals vs 1.0 for Tirana in the last 5; however, the league average goals of 2.08 and a high clean sheet rate of 68% together support a scenario where only one team finds the net. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 38% (yes) and 62% (no) and recommend the "no" bet as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Tirana has xG_for 1.61 and Egnatia xG_against 1.22, yielding about (1.61+1.22)/2 ≈ 1.42 expected goals for the home side; Egnatia (xG_for 1.21) and Tirana’s defense (xG_against 0.90) give ≈1.05 for the away side, totaling ≈2.47 goals. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.47 indicates probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈ 71%, Over 2.5 ≈ 45% and Over 3.5 ≈ 24%, so the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (≈76%). Seasonal data support a moderate low-scoring outcome: seasonOver35Percentage_home 27% vs away 7% (i.e., 73% and 93% of matches under 3.5) and both teams concede on average 0.73 goals per match. Additionally, Tirana averages 1.67 goals from 4.87 SOT with a 13% conversion, while Egnatia averages 0.8 goals from 3.33 SOT with a 9% conversion, suggesting a limited likelihood of goals above 3.5. Conclusion: the expected 2.47 goals combined with historically low >3.5 percentages (27%/7%) make Under 3.5 the safest and strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Tirana win at full-time (X/1). Half-time statistics show Tirana were level at the break in 5 of 15 matches (33%) and Egnatia in 6 of 15 (40%), with the away side being level at half-time in 80% of their last five games, which increases the probability of a tie after 45 minutes. After the break Tirana hold the advantage: they average 1.2 goals in the second half versus 0.4 for Egnatia and register 60% wins in second halves compared to 20% for the visitors, and they have scored 10 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for Egnatia, indicating strong finishing. Tirana’s offensive potential is supported by xG of 1.61 versus 1.21 for the visitors, on average 13.27 shots against 9.2 and a higher conversion rate of 13% vs 9%, while season goals per game of 1.67 vs 0.8 also favor the home side. Considering the low number of first-half goals (AVGHT 0.87 vs 0.67) and the hosts’ strong second-half performance, the HT/FT scenario X/1 receives the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tirana · 1.6 pts / game - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Tirana · 1.23 goals / game - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 92% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Tirana · 0.73 goals / game - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 meczów).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while Tirana keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tirana
Over / Under - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / game - Tirana · 1.47 pts / game - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tirana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Tirana | Liga | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.23 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 62% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- TiranaGoalDiar Halili
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tirana's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The Superliga match finished Tirana 3:1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tirana won 1, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Tirana score 0.83 goals per game on average and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.23. The Superliga average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Tirana's matches and 33% of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's.
What form are Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in?
Over the last 5 games Tirana have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The statistical background for Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.