Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of November 09, 2026

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: match statistics

Tlaxcala crest
Tlaxcala
0 : 1half-time 0:1
CA La Paz crest
CA La Paz

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tlaxcala played against CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on November 5, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Tlaxcala has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. CA La Paz has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Tlaxcala scores 1.93 goals per game and allows 1.80. CA La Paz scores 2.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of Tlaxcala's games and 67% of CA La Paz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 80%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

CA La Paz has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.54 per game. Tlaxcala takes 12.3 shots per game, while CA La Paz takes 17.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.27 goals per game after halftime. CA La Paz leads at halftime in 47% and scores 1.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tlaxcala's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For CA La Paz, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

CA La Paz have a slight edge: they have won 9 of their 15 matches this season, compared with Tlaxcala’s 6 of 15, and average 3 goals away from home versus the hosts’ 2.57 goals per game on home soil. The visitors create more shooting opportunities, averaging 17.43 shots and an xG of 2.02, compared with Tlaxcala’s 13.57 shots and xG of 1.73 at home. However, recent form favors the hosts, who are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals; CA La Paz have won 3 matches and scored 13 goals over the same period. Both teams concede an average of 1.57 goals per game in these conditions, so the visitors’ attacking edge does not give them clear control of the outcome. I expect a closely contested match, but CA La Paz’s higher volume of chances created marginally increases the visitors’ chances of winning.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

A scenario in which both teams score is more likely: BTTS has occurred in 86% of CA La Paz matches and 50% of Tlaxcala matches, with those figures standing at 80% and 60% respectively over their last five games. The visitors average 3.0 goals per match and have yet to finish a game without scoring, strongly supporting their chances of finding the net. Tlaxcala also has a solid case for scoring: they average 1.88 goals, while CA La Paz concede 1.57 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their games. Caution is warranted because the hosts keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches; however, the attacks’ average xG—1.87 for Tlaxcala and 2.02 for CA La Paz—supports a BTTS - Yes pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

At least two goals were scored in 88% of Tlaxcala’s matches and 100% of CA La Paz’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal in the data. The visitors average 3.0 goals per match, while the hosts average 1.88; their xG averages of 2.02 and 1.87, respectively, also point to strong attacking potential. In their last five matches, Tlaxcala averaged 2.2 goals and CA La Paz 2.6, while the visitors kept a clean sheet in just 14% of their matches this season. The Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 lines also have attacking indicators in their favor, but Over 1.5 offers the highest probability of landing, with a forecast total of 3.90 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is CA La Paz leading at the break and winning the match: the visitors were ahead at half-time in 57% of their matches and won 71%, compared with 38% and 50%, respectively, for Tlaxcala. Their attacking edge is reflected in an average of 3.00 goals scored per match versus 1.88 for the hosts, as well as an xG of 2.02 compared with 1.87. CA La Paz score an average of 1.43 goals before half-time and another 1.57 after the break, supporting the scenario in which they take the lead and hold on to it until the final whistle. However, the pick is not a clear-cut one: Tlaxcala have not lost any of their last five matches and have conceded an average of just 0.25 goals after half-time across the full period under review, so a draw at half-time followed by a visitors' win remains a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
16Shots9
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
2Shots on target3
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.48xG0.98
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
7Corners2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
47Dangerous attacks28
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
14Fouls14
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1Cards4
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.93Goals scored / game2.4
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.8Goals allowed / game1.2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
45%Average possession56%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
4.73Shots on target / game6.07
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.27Shots per game17.07
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
4.73Shots on target6.07
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
15.8%Shot conversion14.1%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
45%Possession56%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.54xG for1.93
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.52xG against1.5
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Shooting quality

Tlaxcala: Counter-attackingCA La Paz: Dominant
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tlaxcala is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 2 pts / game - CA La Paz

Tlaxcala
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
40% W27% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-5
1.47 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
CA La Paz
LWDWW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-3
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.37Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 24% better for: goals scored per game.

1.93 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 2.4 goals / game - CA La Paz

CA La Paz is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.8 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 1.2 goals / game - CA La Paz

Tlaxcala scoring profile: very strong

Tlaxcala scores in 87% of games (13 of 15 games), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 games).

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 games), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 games).

29Goals scored (season)36
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
27Goals conceded (season)18
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
3.73Average goals per game3.6
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
11Goals scored (last 5)13
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal93%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
67%2 goals80%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
27%3 goals47%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
13%4 goals13%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal73%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
53%2 goals33%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
27%3 goals7%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
13%4 goals7%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time33%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
33%Scored in both halves53%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
60%BTTS - last 580%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
73%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 1.73 pts / game - CA La Paz

Tlaxcala - half-time state
33% leading27% draw40% trailing
CA La Paz - half-time state
47% leading33% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.73
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.8
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
47%No goal before half-time20%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per game (2nd half)2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.8
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
33%No goal after half-time33%
TlaxcalaCA La Paz

Tlaxcala - second-half results

47% W13% D40% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

CA La Paz - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
26
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tlaxcala - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.40
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
CA La Paz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.60
Goals scored / game1.41.2
Goals allowed / game1.40.0
Average goals per game2.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
3
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
5
16-30
8
3
31-45
7
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
183%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

TlaxcalaLigaCA La Paz
Average goals per game▲ 3.733.21▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▲ 73%59%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%63%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 13%23%▲ 27%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%76%▲ 87%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%▲ 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.90
Home goals / game
1.31
Away goals / game
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Tlaxcala's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against CA La Paz. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

The Ascenso MX match finished Tlaxcala 0:1 CA La Paz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tlaxcala and CA La Paz?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Tlaxcala score 1.93 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 2.40. The Ascenso MX average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Tlaxcala's matches and 67% of CA La Paz's.

What form are Tlaxcala and CA La Paz in?

Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and CA La Paz 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.