Tlaxcala vs Cancún: match statistics
Cancún clearly outperforms Tlaxcala in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have a disastrous record in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and just 0.4 points per match, while the visitors average 1 point per match and boast a solid season record (10 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Tlaxcala has scored only 15 goals while conceding 31 throughout the season, indicating serious defensive and offensive issues. Cancún presents much better scoring efficiency (30 goals scored against 12 conceded) and an impressive 50% away win rate. Additionally, the visitors have a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) and more clean sheets away (38%). Considering Cancún's statistical advantage and the hosts' poor form, an away victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tlaxcala played against Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Tlaxcala has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Cancún has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tlaxcala scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.07. Cancún scores 1.76 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Tlaxcala's games and 41% of Cancún's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 47%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tlaxcala has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.54 per game. Tlaxcala takes 13.1 shots per game, while Cancún takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Cancún leads at halftime in 53% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tlaxcala's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Cancún, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cancún clearly outperforms Tlaxcala in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have a disastrous record in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and just 0.4 points per match, while the visitors average 1 point per match and boast a solid season record (10 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Tlaxcala has scored only 15 goals while conceding 31 throughout the season, indicating serious defensive and offensive issues. Cancún presents much better scoring efficiency (30 goals scored against 12 conceded) and an impressive 50% away win rate. Additionally, the visitors have a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) and more clean sheets away (38%). Considering Cancún's statistical advantage and the hosts' poor form, an away victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tlaxcala | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cancún is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 1 pts / game - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 76% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 1.76 goals / game - Cancún
Cancún is 192% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.07 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 0.71 goals / game - Cancún
Tlaxcala scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 meczów).
Cancún scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 1.94 pts / game - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tlaxcala
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tlaxcala | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.07 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 25% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Tlaxcala's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cancún. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tlaxcala 1:0 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Tlaxcala score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.76. The Ascenso MX average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Tlaxcala's matches and 41% of Cancún's.
What form are Tlaxcala and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cancún 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.