Tlaxcala vs Irapuato: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even match with a leaning towards a draw. Tlaxcala presents solid form in home matches with 38% wins and only 25% losses, achieving an average of 1.13 goals per match with a good xG coefficient (1.78). However, Irapuato has an impressive 45% draws and only 18% victories in away matches, which suggests a defensive approach on the road. The visitors possess a better average possession (51% vs 49%), but their conversion of chances into goals is low (1.0 goal average away). The recent form of both teams is unstable, which further argues for a draw outcome. Taking into account the goal difference and Irapuato's tendency to draw in away games, I expect a split of points.
Tlaxcala vs Irapuato: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tlaxcala play Irapuato in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tlaxcala: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Irapuato: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tlaxcala scores 1.07 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Irapuato scores 1.59 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tlaxcala 50%, Irapuato 56%. Over 2.5: Tlaxcala 50%, Irapuato 62%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Irapuato has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.50. Tlaxcala: 12.4 shots per match, Irapuato: 12.8.
Match halves
Tlaxcala: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54. Irapuato: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (11 goals). Irapuato: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to an even match with a leaning towards a draw. Tlaxcala presents solid form in home matches with 38% wins and only 25% losses, achieving an average of 1.13 goals per match with a good xG coefficient (1.78). However, Irapuato has an impressive 45% draws and only 18% victories in away matches, which suggests a defensive approach on the road. The visitors possess a better average possession (51% vs 49%), but their conversion of chances into goals is low (1.0 goal average away). The recent form of both teams is unstable, which further argues for a draw outcome. Taking into account the goal difference and Irapuato's tendency to draw in away games, I expect a split of points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tlaxcala | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Irapuato is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.6 pts / match - Irapuato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.59 goals / match - Irapuato
Irapuato is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Tlaxcala · 1.41 goals / match - Irapuato
Tlaxcala scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Irapuato scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tlaxcala
Over / Under — Irapuato
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tlaxcala is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Tlaxcala · 1.09 pts / match - Irapuato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tlaxcala
Irapuato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tlaxcala | Liga | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.64 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tlaxcala 0 - 0 - 1 Irapuato. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tlaxcala 2:1 Irapuato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?
Tlaxcala score 1.07 goals per game on average and Irapuato 1.59. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tlaxcala's matches and 56% of Irapuato's.
What form are Tlaxcala and Irapuato in?
Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Irapuato 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?
The statistical background for Tlaxcala vs Irapuato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.