Tlaxcala vs Irapuato: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even match with a leaning towards a draw. Tlaxcala presents solid form in home matches with 38% wins and only 25% losses, achieving an average of 1.13 goals per match with a good xG coefficient (1.78). However, Irapuato has an impressive 45% draws and only 18% victories in away matches, which suggests a defensive approach on the road. The visitors possess a better average possession (51% vs 49%), but their conversion of chances into goals is low (1.0 goal average away). The recent form of both teams is unstable, which further argues for a draw outcome. Taking into account the goal difference and Irapuato's tendency to draw in away games, I expect a split of points.
Tlaxcala vs Irapuato: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tlaxcala played against Irapuato in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Tlaxcala has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Irapuato has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tlaxcala scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.94. Irapuato scores 1.45 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Tlaxcala's games and 55% of Irapuato's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 55%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tlaxcala has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.52 per game. Tlaxcala takes 13.8 shots per game, while Irapuato takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Irapuato leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tlaxcala's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Irapuato, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even match with a leaning towards a draw. Tlaxcala presents solid form in home matches with 38% wins and only 25% losses, achieving an average of 1.13 goals per match with a good xG coefficient (1.78). However, Irapuato has an impressive 45% draws and only 18% victories in away matches, which suggests a defensive approach on the road. The visitors possess a better average possession (51% vs 49%), but their conversion of chances into goals is low (1.0 goal average away). The recent form of both teams is unstable, which further argues for a draw outcome. Taking into account the goal difference and Irapuato's tendency to draw in away games, I expect a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tlaxcala | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Irapuato is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 1 pts / game - Irapuato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 1.45 goals / game - Irapuato
Irapuato is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.94 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 1.32 goals / game - Irapuato
Tlaxcala scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
Irapuato scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
Over / Under - Irapuato
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tlaxcala
Irapuato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tlaxcala | Liga | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.94 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Tlaxcala's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Irapuato. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tlaxcala 2:1 Irapuato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?
Tlaxcala score 1.00 goals per game on average and Irapuato 1.45. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Tlaxcala's matches and 55% of Irapuato's.
What form are Tlaxcala and Irapuato in?
Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Irapuato 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Irapuato?
The statistical background for Tlaxcala vs Irapuato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.