Tobol vs Ulytau: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Tobol vs Ulytau: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tobol plays Ulytau in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game is scheduled for September 6, 2026.
Recent form
Tobol has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ulytau has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Tobol scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.35. Ulytau scores 0.91 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Tobol's games and 48% of Ulytau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 35%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tobol has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.31 per game. Tobol takes 13.0 shots per game, while Ulytau takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Tobol leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Ulytau leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tobol's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Ulytau, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tobol | Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tobol is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Tobol · 0.8 pts / game - Ulytau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Tobol · 0.91 goals / game - Ulytau
Ulytau is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - Tobol · 1.04 goals / game - Ulytau
Tobol scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Ulytau keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Ulytau scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tobol
Over / Under - Ulytau
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tobol is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Tobol · 1.09 pts / game - Ulytau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ulytau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tobol
Ulytau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tobol | Liga | Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.48 | 2.48 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tobol's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Ulytau. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
When do Tobol and Ulytau play?
Tobol face Ulytau on September 6, 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tobol and Ulytau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tobol won 1, Ulytau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tobol vs Ulytau?
Tobol score 1.13 goals per game on average and Ulytau 0.91. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Tobol's matches and 48% of Ulytau's.
What form are Tobol and Ulytau in?
Over the last 5 games Tobol have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Ulytau 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tobol vs Ulytau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.