Japan - J1 LeagueAjinomoto StadiumData current as of October 14, 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: match statistics

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tokyo Verdy played against Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J1 League (Japan). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Tokyo Verdy has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Tokyo Verdy scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores 2.50 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Tokyo Verdy's games and 50% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 63%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the higher season xG average, 2.36 to 1.01 per game. Tokyo Verdy takes 9.8 shots per game, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima takes 20.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Tokyo Verdy leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Sanfrecce Hiroshima leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tokyo Verdy's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Sanfrecce Hiroshima, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while 19th-placed Tokyo Verdy have managed just 1 win over the same period. Away from home, the visitors average 1.75 goals and 7.25 shots on target per match; the hosts score just 0.6 goals at home, with 3 shots on target. Sanfrecce’s superior chance quality is reflected in their away xG of 2.61, compared with Tokyo’s 1.22 xG at home. Verdy’s defense concedes an average of 1.8 goals at home and has yet to keep a clean sheet there, while the visitors limit opponents to chances worth an average xG of just 0.75 in away matches. Although Sanfrecce have won 50% of their away games—not all of them—the overall statistics clearly point to an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS landed in 60% of each team's last 5 matches, offering a moderate indication that both sides could score. Sanfrecce have a clear attacking edge: over this period, they averaged 2.8 goals from an xG of 2.26, while Tokyo Verdy scored 0.8 goals from an xG of 1.35. The hosts may still find a way to goal, as the visitors conceded an average of 1.0 goal across their last 5 matches. The strongest argument against BTTS is Sanfrecce's defense, which allowed an xG of just 0.8 per match during this period, along with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Therefore, I’m backing BTTS - Yes, but only by a narrow margin, as Tokyo Verdy’s goal remains uncertain.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Tokyo Verdy matches and 50% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima matches. The visitors have averaged 2.8 goals across their last 5 matches, while the hosts have conceded 1.2 goals per game over the same period. Tokyo, meanwhile, has scored just 0.8 goals per game in its last 5 appearances, but averages an xG of 2.11 at home, giving reason to expect them to contribute to the scoreline as well. A projected total of 3.10 goals points to at least two goals, but with Tokyo averaging 0.8 goals per game recently, the 2.5 line is less certain.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time followed by a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win appears to be the most likely outcome, although Tokyo Verdy’s strong home results leave considerable uncertainty. Tokyo Verdy were level at the break in four of their last five matches and did not score in the first half in any of them, while Sanfrecce were level at half-time in half of their away matches. The visitors’ current form points to an advantage after the break: they have won four of their last five matches and averaged 1.6 goals in the second halves, compared with Tokyo Verdy’s 0.8. Sanfrecce average 2.61 xG away from home, against 2.11 xG for the hosts at home, further supporting the prospect of a late decision in the visitors’ favor. The risk to this pick is Tokyo Verdy’s home record: they led at the break in three of their four matches and won all three, so the 1/1 scenario also carries significant probability.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

33Possession (%)67
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
7Shots12
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
3Shots on target6
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.91xG1.55
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
1Corners4
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
34Dangerous attacks50
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
15Fouls10
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
3Cards1
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.5Goals scored / game2.5
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
1.5Goals allowed / game0.75
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
44%Average possession60%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
2.25Shots on target / game7.63
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.75Shots per game20.75
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
2.25Shots on target7.63
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
5.1%Shot conversion12%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
44%Possession60%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
1.01xG for2.36
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
1.72xG against0.91
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

Shooting quality

Tokyo Verdy: BalancedSanfrecce Hiroshima: Dominant
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
Accuracy (shots on target)23%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Tokyo Verdy · 2 pts / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-4
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DWLWW
Season result split
63% W25% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-1
2.13 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.36Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 400% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Tokyo Verdy · 2.5 goals / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Tokyo Verdy · 0.75 goals / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy scoring profile: mixed

Tokyo Verdy scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scoring profile: very strong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Tokyo Verdy keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

4Goals scored (season)20
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
12Goals conceded (season)6
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
2Average goals per game3.25
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
2Goals scored (last 5)12
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal88%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%2 goals63%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%3 goals50%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%4 goals25%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
50%2 goals13%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
25%3 goals13%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%4 goals0%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%Scored in both halves50%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
40%BTTS - last 540%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time38%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 198% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.63 pts / game - Tokyo Verdy · 1.88 pts / game - Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.63Points per game (1st half)1.88
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.13Goals scored (1st half)1
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.38
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
88%No goal before half-time38%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per game (2nd half)2.13
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
38%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
63%No goal after half-time25%
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy - second-half results

13% W50% D38% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tokyo Verdy - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.20
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tokyo Verdy
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
5
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tokyo Verdy

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
31%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Tokyo VerdyLigaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.92▲ 3.25
Both teams scored▼ 50%59%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%53%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▲ 25%23%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%69%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%87%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tokyo VerdyYellow cardHyun-Woo Kim
  2. Sanfrecce HiroshimaYellow cardJoo-Sung Kim
  3. Tokyo VerdyYellow cardKaito Suzuki
  4. Sanfrecce HiroshimaGoalTaishi MatsumotoAssist: Akito Suzuki
  5. Tokyo VerdyYellow cardItsuki Someno
  6. Tokyo VerdySubstitutionOn: Kazunari IchimiOff: Hyun-Woo Kim
  7. Sanfrecce HiroshimaGoalAkito Suzuki
  8. Sanfrecce HiroshimaSubstitutionOn: Naoki MaedaOff: Daiki Suga
  9. Sanfrecce HiroshimaSubstitutionOn: Takuma AsanoOff: Shun Ayukawa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Tokyo Verdy's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Tokyo Verdy
0 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 1
Tokyo Verdy

FAQ

What was the result of Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

The J1 League match finished Tokyo Verdy 0:2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tokyo Verdy score 0.50 goals per game on average and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.50. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tokyo Verdy's matches and 50% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's.

What form are Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in?

Over the last 5 games Tokyo Verdy have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.