Toluca vs Santos Laguna: match statistics
Toluca demonstrates a decisive advantage as hosts, boasting an impressive 67% home win rate and a +17 goal difference. The home side averages 2.67 goals per match on their own turf, failing to score in just 8% of games, which underscores their offensive efficiency. In contrast, Santos Laguna remains winless away this season (0% victories), conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game with a -10 goal difference on the road. The visitors' recent form is disastrous, marked by a four-match losing streak away from home, whereas Toluca has won 3 of their last 5 fixtures. With xG statistics clearly favoring the hosts (2.06 vs 1.09), Toluca's offensive dominance makes a home win the most probable outcome.
Toluca vs Santos Laguna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toluca played against Santos Laguna in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 15, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Toluca has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Santos Laguna has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Toluca scores 2.13 goals per game and allows 1.00. Santos Laguna scores 1.28 and allows 1.72. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Toluca's games and 50% of Santos Laguna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 61%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.21 per game. Toluca takes 17.3 shots per game, while Santos Laguna takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Toluca leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Santos Laguna leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toluca's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). For Santos Laguna, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toluca demonstrates a decisive advantage as hosts, boasting an impressive 67% home win rate and a +17 goal difference. The home side averages 2.67 goals per match on their own turf, failing to score in just 8% of games, which underscores their offensive efficiency. In contrast, Santos Laguna remains winless away this season (0% victories), conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game with a -10 goal difference on the road. The visitors' recent form is disastrous, marked by a four-match losing streak away from home, whereas Toluca has won 3 of their last 5 fixtures. With xG statistics clearly favoring the hosts (2.06 vs 1.09), Toluca's offensive dominance makes a home win the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Toluca · 1.4 pts / game - Santos Laguna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 66% better for: goals scored per game.
2.13 goals / game - Toluca · 1.28 goals / game - Santos Laguna
Toluca is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Toluca · 1.72 goals / game - Santos Laguna
Toluca scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Santos Laguna keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Santos Laguna scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toluca
Over / Under - Santos Laguna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Toluca · 1.22 pts / game - Santos Laguna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Santos Laguna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toluca
Santos Laguna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.13 | 2.98 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Toluca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Santos Laguna. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
The Liga MX match finished Toluca 3:1 Santos Laguna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Toluca score 2.13 goals per game on average and Santos Laguna 1.28. The Liga MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Toluca's matches and 50% of Santos Laguna's.
What form are Toluca and Santos Laguna in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Santos Laguna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
The statistical background for Toluca vs Santos Laguna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.