Toronto vs Austin: match statistics
Toronto vs Austin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toronto play Austin in MLS (United States). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Toronto: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Austin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toronto scores 1.57 and concedes 2.07 goals per match. Austin scores 1.27 and concedes 2.07. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toronto 86%, Austin 60%. Over 2.5: Toronto 71%, Austin 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Toronto has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.21. Toronto: 11.9 shots per match, Austin: 10.5.
Match halves
Toronto: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 1.21. Austin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Toronto: 76-90+ (9 goals). Austin: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win. Toronto has a clear advantage in chance creation — averaging 12.75 shots and 5.25 on target per home match versus Austin’s 8 shots and 2 on target per away match. The hosts average 1.75 goals at home with xG 1.52, while Austin scores 1.33 goals away with xG just 0.82 and concedes 2.33 goals on average in away fixtures, yielding an xG differential of +0.70 in Toronto’s favor. Form corroborates this comparison: in the last 5 matches Toronto has 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game), whereas Austin is without a win in their last 5 (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 0.4 points per game). Given the superior volume of chances, better xG and Austin’s defensive frailties I assign a 70% probability to a Toronto win, 18% to a draw and 12% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | Austin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Austin is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Toronto · 0.8 pts / match - Austin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toronto is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Toronto · 1.27 goals / match - Austin
Toronto scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Austin scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toronto
Over / Under — Austin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin is 130% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / match - Toronto · 1.47 pts / match - Austin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Austin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toronto
Austin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | Austin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.64 | 3.30 | • 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs Austin?
The MLS match finished Toronto 3:3 Austin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Austin?
Toronto score 1.57 goals per game on average and Austin 1.27. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Toronto's matches and 60% of Austin's.
What form are Toronto and Austin in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Austin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Austin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.