Toronto vs DC United: match statistics
Toronto vs DC United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toronto played against DC United in MLS (United States). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: BMO Field. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Toronto has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. DC United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Toronto scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.90. DC United scores 1.23 and allows 1.77. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 77% of Toronto's games and 61% of DC United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 61%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
DC United has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.41 per game. Toronto takes 12.3 shots per game, while DC United takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Toronto leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. DC United leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toronto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). For DC United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toronto have the home advantage, scoring an average of 2.13 goals per match, while DC United score 1.2 goals away from home. The hosts also register more shots on target (5.31 to 3.67), and their average xG stands at 1.51 compared with the visitors’ 1.34, pointing to greater attacking potential. In their last five matches, Toronto have scored 8 goals and won twice, while DC United have scored 4 and suffered 4 defeats. The hosts’ defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2 goals at home and keeping no clean sheets there; however, the visitors have conceded as many as 12 goals in their last five matches. The high draw rates for both teams in these conditions — 56% of Toronto’s home matches and 47% of DC United’s away matches — mean a share of the points cannot be ruled out, but the hosts’ scoring form supports a Toronto win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 67% of Toronto’s matches and 60% of DC United’s, with the rate at 60% across both teams’ last 5 games. Both defenses are allowing opponents chances: Toronto concede an average of 1.73 goals per match, compared with 1.80 for DC United; over their last 5 matches, those figures were 1.8 and 2.4, respectively. The hosts’ average of 1.33 goals and 1.54 xG supports the case for them to score, while DC United average 1.20 goals from 1.34 xG. Caution is warranted, as the visitors have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 matches and have failed to score in 33% of their season games. However, Toronto’s defensive frailties make both teams to score the more likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Toronto average 1.33 goals per match, while DC United concede 1.80; Toronto’s xG is also 1.54, compared with 1.73 xG conceded by the visitors. DC United score an average of 1.20 goals, while Toronto concede 1.73, so the visitors also have a strong case to find the net. Over their last five matches, the teams conceded 1.8 and 2.4 goals per game, respectively, reinforcing the forecast of around 3.05 goals in total. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: it has landed in 80% of Toronto’s matches and 73% of DC United’s, while the Over 2.5 goals line was cleared in 73% and 53%, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Toronto led at the break in 7 of 15 matches (47%), while DC United went into half-time with a lead just twice (13%), pointing to a home advantage in the first half. Toronto average 1.54 xG per match compared with the visitors’ 1.34 and record 5.13 shots on target versus DC United’s 3.67. Recent form also supports Toronto holding on to a lead: across their last five matches, Toronto scored an average of 1.6 goals, while DC United conceded 2.4 and lost 4 of those games. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, as DC United were level at the break in 47% of their matches. However, Toronto’s more frequent leads at half-time, combined with the clear gap in recent results, make 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toronto is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Toronto · 0.6 pts / game - DC United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toronto is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.55 goals / game - Toronto · 1.23 goals / game - DC United
DC United is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.9 goals / game - Toronto · 1.77 goals / game - DC United
Toronto scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 games), while DC United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 games).
DC United scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 games), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toronto
Over / Under - DC United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
DC United is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / game - Toronto · 1.19 pts / game - DC United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
DC United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toronto
DC United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | DC United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.45 | 3.24 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Toronto's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against DC United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs DC United?
The MLS match finished Toronto 2:1 DC United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs DC United?
Toronto score 1.55 goals per game on average and DC United 1.23. The MLS average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Toronto's matches and 61% of DC United's.
What form are Toronto and DC United in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and DC United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs DC United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toronto vs DC United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.