Toronto vs Montreal Impact: match statistics
Toronto vs Montreal Impact: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toronto played against Montreal Impact in MLS (United States). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: BMO Field. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Toronto has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Montreal Impact has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Toronto scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.89. Montreal Impact scores 1.26 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of Toronto's games and 52% of Montreal Impact's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 63%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Montreal Impact has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.37 per game. Toronto takes 12.1 shots per game, while Montreal Impact takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Toronto leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Montreal Impact leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toronto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Montreal Impact, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toronto are favorites primarily because of their home advantage: they average 2.07 goals at home, while Montreal score 1.15 on the road. The visitors have lost 77% of their away matches and concede an average of 2.77 goals in them, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to exploit their defensive weaknesses. However, Toronto have not kept a clean sheet at home and have conceded 13 goals in their last five matches, so victory is not a foregone conclusion. The quality of the chances they create also favors the hosts: their home xG is 1.50, compared with Montreal’s away xG of 1.34. Although the visitors have won 2 of their last 5 matches, their away record and lower scoring efficiency tip the prediction in Toronto’s favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 57% of Toronto’s matches and 46% of Montreal’s, but over each team’s last 5 matches, the figure was 60%. Toronto have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match recently, increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring despite their season average of 1.15 goals scored. Montreal, meanwhile, concede an average of 2.77 goals, while Toronto have an xG of 1.65 at home, making a home goal likely. The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is that Montreal failed to score in 46% of their matches, so the case for BTTS - Yes remains moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 79% of Toronto’s matches and 85% of Montreal’s, giving this line the strongest statistical backing. Toronto average 1.36 goals scored, while Montreal concede 2.77; the hosts’ xG of 1.65 also points to goalscoring opportunities for them. Toronto conceded an average of 2.6 goals over their last five matches, while Montreal scored 1.2, so the visitors could also get on the scoresheet. The Over 2.5 goals line is less certain, having landed in 50% of Toronto’s matches compared with 77% of Montreal’s. With a projected total of 2.97 goals, Over 1.5 is the stronger pick than betting on a higher goal total.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Toronto led at the break in 36% of its matches, while Montreal went into half-time trailing in 62%, pointing to the hosts leading after the first half. Across the season, Montreal concede an average of 2.77 goals per match compared with Toronto’s 1.29, while the hosts’ xG is 1.65 against 1.67 xG conceded by the visitors. The likelihood of Toronto holding its lead is also supported by Montreal conceding an average of 1.62 goals after the break and winning just 15% of its matches. Recent form weakens this signal: Toronto were trailing at half-time in 4 of their previous 5 matches, while Montreal led in 2 of 5. Despite this caveat, the hosts’ advantage in season-long data makes Toronto leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toronto is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Toronto · 0.6 pts / game - Montreal Impact
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toronto is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Toronto · 1.26 goals / game - Montreal Impact
Toronto is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.89 goals / game - Toronto · 2 goals / game - Montreal Impact
Toronto scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 games).
Montreal Impact scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 games), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toronto
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montreal Impact is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / game - Toronto · 1.15 pts / game - Montreal Impact
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 22%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toronto
Montreal Impact
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.22 | • 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Toronto's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Montreal Impact. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs Montreal Impact?
The MLS match finished Toronto 2:1 Montreal Impact. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Montreal Impact?
Toronto score 1.44 goals per game on average and Montreal Impact 1.26. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Toronto's matches and 52% of Montreal Impact's.
What form are Toronto and Montreal Impact in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Montreal Impact 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Montreal Impact?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toronto vs Montreal Impact: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.