Toronto vs Orlando City: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Toronto vs Orlando City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toronto plays Orlando City in MLS (United States). The game is scheduled for October 14, 2026. Venue: BMO Field.
Recent form
Toronto has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Orlando City has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Toronto scores 1.46 goals per game and allows 1.86. Orlando City scores 1.82 and allows 2.36. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 79% of Toronto's games and 68% of Orlando City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 75%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Orlando City has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.38 per game. Toronto takes 12.1 shots per game, while Orlando City takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Toronto leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. Orlando City leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toronto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Orlando City, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Orlando City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Toronto · 1.8 pts / game - Orlando City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando City is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.46 goals / game - Toronto · 1.82 goals / game - Orlando City
Toronto is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.86 goals / game - Toronto · 2.36 goals / game - Orlando City
Toronto scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 games).
Orlando City scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toronto
Over / Under - Orlando City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orlando City is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Toronto · 1.25 pts / game - Orlando City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toronto
Orlando City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.32 | 3.26 | ▲ 4.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 20% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 82% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Toronto's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Orlando City. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Toronto and Orlando City play?
Toronto face Orlando City on October 14, 2026 in MLS at BMO Field. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Orlando City?
Toronto score 1.46 goals per game on average and Orlando City 1.82. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Toronto's matches and 68% of Orlando City's.
What form are Toronto and Orlando City in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Orlando City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Orlando City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.