Toronto vs SJ Earthquakes: match statistics
Toronto vs SJ Earthquakes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toronto play SJ Earthquakes in MLS (United States). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Toronto: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. SJ Earthquakes: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toronto scores 1.57 and concedes 2.07 goals per match. SJ Earthquakes scores 2.27 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toronto 86%, SJ Earthquakes 60%. Over 2.5: Toronto 71%, SJ Earthquakes 60%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.38. Toronto: 11.9 shots per match, SJ Earthquakes: 14.0.
Match halves
Toronto: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 1.21. SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Toronto: 76-90+ (9 goals). SJ Earthquakes: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I expect an away win: SJ Earthquakes hold a 9-0-1 season record and a 5-game winning streak in which they scored 18 goals (3.6 per match). Defensively the visitors are clearly superior — San Jose concedes 0.8 goals on the road on average, while Toronto concedes 1.86 at home, and the visitors have 40% clean sheets away versus 0% for Toronto. Toronto generates more opportunities (12.86 shots and 5.43 on target per home match) but with lower conversion of 16% (approximately 2.06 goals from those attempts), whereas San Jose averages 9 shots with a 27% conversion rate (about 2.43 goals), making them more efficient in finishing. xG data supports the visitors' advantage: San Jose has xG for 1.06 and actually scores 2.4 goals (1.34 above xG) and xG against 1.58 with 0.8 conceded (0.78 below xG), while Toronto has xG for 1.52 and 2.0 goals (0.48 above xG) and xG against 1.23 with 1.86 conceded (0.63 above xG). Considering San Jose’s average of 3.0 points per match in the last 5 fixtures versus Toronto’s 1.2 points, plus superior efficiency and defense, I assess the probabilities as 65% for San Jose, 20% for a draw and 15% for Toronto.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SJ Earthquakes is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Toronto · 1 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SJ Earthquakes is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Toronto · 2.27 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.07 goals / match - Toronto · 1 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
Toronto scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
SJ Earthquakes scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toronto
Over / Under — SJ Earthquakes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SJ Earthquakes is 181% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / match - Toronto · 1.8 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SJ Earthquakes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toronto
SJ Earthquakes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.64 | 3.30 | • 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs SJ Earthquakes?
The MLS match finished Toronto 1:1 SJ Earthquakes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs SJ Earthquakes?
Toronto score 1.57 goals per game on average and SJ Earthquakes 2.27. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Toronto's matches and 60% of SJ Earthquakes's.
What form are Toronto and SJ Earthquakes in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and SJ Earthquakes 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs SJ Earthquakes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.