Torreense vs FC Penafiel: match statistics
Torreense vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Torreense play FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Torreense: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. FC Penafiel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Torreense scores 1.35 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. FC Penafiel scores 1.09 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Torreense 32%, FC Penafiel 44%. Over 2.5: Torreense 44%, FC Penafiel 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Torreense has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.33. Torreense: 11.7 shots per match, FC Penafiel: 11.5.
Match halves
Torreense: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.88. FC Penafiel: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Torreense: 76-90+ (15 goals). FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back Torreense to win (1) because the hosts have a clear home advantage: 53% home wins versus only 27% away wins for Penafiel. Torreense produces 1.51 xG at home and records 4.87 shots on target per match with 51% possession, while Penafiel away posts 1.16 xG, 3.27 shots on target and 43% possession, indicating higher quality of chances for the home side. Defensively Torreense concedes 1.07 goals per home match versus 1.27 conceded by Penafiel on the road, and the goal difference at home is +2 compared to the visitors’ -4 away, which further favors Torreense. On the other hand Penafiel scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per match) but conceded 9 (1.8 per match), showing offensive form combined with defensive instability and limiting their prospects for reliable points away. Considering the advantage in xG (1.51 vs 1.16), higher number of shots on target (4.87 vs 3.27) and superior home record, I assess a higher probability of a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Torreense | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Torreense is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Torreense · 1.2 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Torreense is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Torreense · 1.09 goals / match - FC Penafiel
Torreense is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Torreense · 1.15 goals / match - FC Penafiel
Torreense scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
FC Penafiel scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Torreense keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Torreense
Over / Under — FC Penafiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Torreense is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Torreense · 0.91 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Torreense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Torreense
FC Penafiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Torreense | Liga | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Torreense 0 - 0 - 1 FC Penafiel. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Torreense vs FC Penafiel?
The LigaPro match finished Torreense 3:2 FC Penafiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Torreense vs FC Penafiel?
Torreense score 1.35 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 1.09. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Torreense's matches and 44% of FC Penafiel's.
What form are Torreense and FC Penafiel in?
Over the last 5 games Torreense have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and FC Penafiel 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Torreense vs FC Penafiel?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Torreense vs FC Penafiel: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.