Toulouse vs Lille: match statistics
Toulouse vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toulouse play Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Toulouse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lille: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toulouse scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Lille scores 1.53 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toulouse 48%, Lille 38%. Over 2.5: Toulouse 55%, Lille 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lille has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.41. Toulouse: 12.8 shots per match, Lille: 13.6.
Match halves
Toulouse: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82. Lille: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Toulouse: 76-90+ (16 goals). Lille: 76-90+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Lille are the favorites: they sit 4th in the table versus Toulouse in 10th and have a superior goal difference 45–39; in the last 5 matches the visitors recorded 3 wins and the hosts 2 (points per game 1.8 vs 1.4). In attack the differences are marginal — Toulouse at home have average xG 1.61 and score 1.5 goals per game, while Lille away have xG 1.51 and score 1.57 goals per game, but Lille exhibit higher efficiency (conversion rate 12% vs 10%). Defensively the hosts look more solid: Toulouse concede on average 1.21 goals at home with an xG against of 1.09 and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas Lille away concede 1.43 goals and keep 29% clean sheets (xG against 1.23). Playing style also favors Lille — the visitors average 55% possession versus the hosts' 43% and, despite fewer shots per game (12.86 vs 14.93), are more efficient; Lille’s away matches average 3.0 goals versus 2.71 in Toulouse’s home games. Considering the higher league position, better form (points per game 1.8 vs 1.4) and superior efficiency, I predict a Lille win; I assess the chances as 23% for Toulouse, 27% for a draw and 50% for Lille.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lille is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Toulouse · 1.6 pts / match - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lille is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Toulouse · 1.53 goals / match - Lille
Lille is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Toulouse · 1.09 goals / match - Lille
Toulouse scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Lille scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toulouse
Over / Under — Lille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lille is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Toulouse · 1.38 pts / match - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toulouse
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toulouse 0 - 0 - 1 Lille. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 0:4 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Lille?
Toulouse score 1.42 goals per game on average and Lille 1.53. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Toulouse's matches and 38% of Lille's.
What form are Toulouse and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lille 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Lille?
The statistical background for Toulouse vs Lille — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.