Toulouse vs Lorient: match statistics
Toulouse display solid home form with a +3 goal difference and a 10% conversion rate at their own stadium. The hosts have won 31% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals with an xG of 1.64, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Lorient perform significantly worse in away matches - only 15% wins, a negative goal difference of -10, and merely 0.85 goals on average per match with an xG of 1.22. The visitors struggle to keep clean sheets away (15% CS%), conceding an average of 1.62 goals, and their high FTS% (54%) confirms issues with finishing. The recent form of both teams is balanced; however, Toulouse's home advantage and Lorient's away weakness point towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' solid share of points.
Toulouse vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toulouse played against Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Toulouse has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Lorient has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Toulouse scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.23. Lorient scores 1.42 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Toulouse's games and 58% of Lorient's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 46%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.30 per game. Toulouse takes 13.3 shots per game, while Lorient takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Toulouse leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. Lorient leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toulouse's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Lorient, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toulouse display solid home form with a +3 goal difference and a 10% conversion rate at their own stadium. The hosts have won 31% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals with an xG of 1.64, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Lorient perform significantly worse in away matches - only 15% wins, a negative goal difference of -10, and merely 0.85 goals on average per match with an xG of 1.22. The visitors struggle to keep clean sheets away (15% CS%), conceding an average of 1.62 goals, and their high FTS% (54%) confirms issues with finishing. The recent form of both teams is balanced; however, Toulouse's home advantage and Lorient's away weakness point towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' solid share of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lorient is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Toulouse · 1.8 pts / game - Lorient
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.54 goals / game - Lorient
Toulouse scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
Lorient scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Lorient
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Toulouse · 1.58 pts / game - Lorient
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toulouse
Lorient
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.65 | 2.77 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Toulouse's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lorient. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Lorient?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 1:0 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Lorient?
Toulouse score 1.42 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.42. The Ligue 1 average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Toulouse's matches and 58% of Lorient's.
What form are Toulouse and Lorient in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lorient 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Lorient?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.