Toulouse vs Monaco: match statistics
Toulouse vs Monaco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toulouse played against Monaco in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Toulouse has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Monaco has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Toulouse scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 1.40. Monaco scores 1.73 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Toulouse's games and 63% of Monaco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 63%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Monaco has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.38 per game. Toulouse takes 12.5 shots per game, while Monaco takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Toulouse leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Monaco leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toulouse's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Monaco, it is minutes 61-75 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Monaco win ('2'), because the visitors are clearly in better form — Monaco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches and average 2.0 points per game, while Toulouse have won only 1 of their last 5 and lost 4 (averaging 0.6 pts). This season Monaco have scored 52 goals versus Toulouse's 41, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 9 goals compared to the hosts' 5, despite similar goals-per-game figures (Toulouse 1.4 at home vs Monaco 1.36 away). Defensively Toulouse perform better at home — conceding 1.4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 40% of matches, whereas Monaco concede 1.64 on the road and have only 14% clean sheets; however xG shows parity in chance quality (Toulouse 1.55 xG at home vs Monaco 1.46 xG away). Monaco dominate possession more often (52% possession away vs 43% for Toulouse at home) and have a superior wins record this season (15 vs 10), which gives them a tactical edge. Based on this I assess the probability of a Monaco win at 55%, a draw at 20% and a Toulouse win at 25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Toulouse 63% and Monaco 64%, with the last 5 matches at 60% for Toulouse and 80% for Monaco, signaling BTTS clearly above the league average of 49%. Monaco keeps a clean sheet in only 14% of matches, while Toulouse fails to score in just 6% of games — meaning Monaco concedes in about 86% of matches and Toulouse scores in about 94% of cases — a strong argument for Both Teams To Score. Both teams’ xG are similar (1.48 for Toulouse vs 1.46 for Monaco), while xG against shows greater vulnerability for Monaco (1.63 vs 1.35 for Toulouse), suggesting Monaco allows more scoring chances. Toulouse has higher conversion rate (17% vs 11%) and averages 4.63 shots on target versus 4.14 for Monaco; in the last 5 matches Toulouse concedes an average of 2.8 goals compared to 1.6 conceded by Monaco, which favors an open game with goals at both ends. Considering also the high share of matches over 2.5 goals (69% and 57%) and combinations of over2.5 and BTTS (63% and 56%), I recommend a BTTS = Yes bet with a probability assessment of 72% vs 28%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG for this match is approximately 1.56 for Toulouse and 1.40 for Monaco, totaling ~2.96 expected goals and indicating a lean towards Over 2.5 goals. Toulouse score 2.06 goals per home game on average, while Monaco score 1.36 away; additionally Toulouse concede 1.38 at home and Monaco concede 1.64 on the road, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Season rates for matches over 2.5 are 69% for Toulouse and 57% for Monaco, and in the last 5 meetings both teams produced Over 2.5 in 80% of cases, reinforcing the Over 2.5 signal. Both teams register high BTTS: 63% (Toulouse) and 64% (Monaco), and Toulouse has a higher shot conversion rate of 17% versus Monaco’s 11% with a similar shot volume (12.44 vs 12.57). Based on this I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (probability ~74%), with a very high probability for Over 1.5 (~92%) and a moderate probability for Over 3.5 (~42%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Toulouse led at the break in 38% of matches and averages 0.75 goals in the first half, while Monaco averages only 0.36 first-half goals, giving the home side an advantage in the opening 45 minutes. Over the full match Toulouse win 63% of home games and record 2.0 points per home match, whereas Monaco win 36% of away fixtures and have 1.29 PPG, so season-long numbers favor the hosts. After the break Toulouse score on average 1.31 goals and concede 0.75, with xG closely aligned (1.48 vs 1.46) and better finishing from the home side (17% vs 11%), which suggests that if Toulouse hold a lead at half-time they have a strong chance to maintain or extend it. Form must be considered: in the last five matches Toulouse have only a 20% win rate (1/5), while Monaco are at 60% (3/5), which increases the risk of a turnaround; nevertheless the HT advantage and the hosts’ shot efficiency appear decisive. Overall the strongest signal is Toulouse leading at half-time and winning the match, therefore I recommend HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Monaco is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Toulouse · 2 pts / game - Monaco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.37 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.73 goals / game - Monaco
Toulouse is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.5 goals / game - Monaco
Toulouse scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 meczów).
Monaco scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Monaco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monaco is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Toulouse · 1.23 pts / game - Monaco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toulouse
Monaco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.77 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Toulouse's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Monaco. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Monaco?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 2:2 Monaco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Monaco?
Toulouse score 1.37 goals per game on average and Monaco 1.73. The Ligue 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Toulouse's matches and 63% of Monaco's.
What form are Toulouse and Monaco in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Monaco 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Monaco?
The statistical background for Toulouse vs Monaco — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.