Toulouse vs Nice: match statistics
Toulouse is showing solid home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, though their recent performance across the last five matches has been excellent (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). The hosts maintain a neutral goal difference at home and successfully keep clean sheets in 44% of their home fixtures. Conversely, Nice displays very poor away form with only a 13% win rate, a 75% loss rate, and a disastrous goal difference of -10 on the road. The visitors have failed to keep a single clean sheet away and concede an average of 2.25 goals per match, which, combined with their poor recent run (1 win in the last 5 matches), puts them in a disadvantageous position. xG statistics also favor Toulouse (1.54 to 1.1), which, given the home advantage, gives the hosts a real chance of securing three points, although Nice's scoring ability could lead to a competitive scoreline.
Toulouse vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toulouse played against Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Toulouse has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Nice has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Toulouse scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.29. Nice scores 1.18 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Toulouse's games and 65% of Nice's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 53%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.26 per game. Toulouse takes 11.9 shots per game, while Nice takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Toulouse leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Nice leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.41 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toulouse's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Nice, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toulouse is showing solid home form with a balanced record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses, though their recent performance across the last five matches has been excellent (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). The hosts maintain a neutral goal difference at home and successfully keep clean sheets in 44% of their home fixtures. Conversely, Nice displays very poor away form with only a 13% win rate, a 75% loss rate, and a disastrous goal difference of -10 on the road. The visitors have failed to keep a single clean sheet away and concede an average of 2.25 goals per match, which, combined with their poor recent run (1 win in the last 5 matches), puts them in a disadvantageous position. xG statistics also favor Toulouse (1.54 to 1.1), which, given the home advantage, gives the hosts a real chance of securing three points, although Nice's scoring ability could lead to a competitive scoreline.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toulouse is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Toulouse · 0.2 pts / game - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.41 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.18 goals / game - Nice
Toulouse is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.76 goals / game - Nice
Toulouse scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).
Nice scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Nice
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nice is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Toulouse · 1.41 pts / game - Nice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toulouse
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 2.83 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Toulouse's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nice. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 5:1 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Nice?
Toulouse score 1.41 goals per game on average and Nice 1.18. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Toulouse's matches and 65% of Nice's.
What form are Toulouse and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nice 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Nice?
The statistical background for Toulouse vs Nice — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.