Toulouse vs Paris: match statistics
Toulouse displays significantly better home form with a 36% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home match with a solid 12% conversion rate and a high xG of 1.59. Paris FC is in a difficult away situation with only a 27% win rate on the road, a negative -5 goal difference, and poor form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.6 points per game). The visitors concede an average of 1.55 goals away, which, combined with their low offensive efficiency (1.09 goals on average), puts them at a disadvantage. Toulouse should capitalize on their home advantage and secure the three points, although Paris FC is capable of fighting for draws, as evidenced by their 27% draw rate away from home.
Toulouse vs Paris: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toulouse played against Paris in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Toulouse has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Paris has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Toulouse scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.18. Paris scores 1.18 and allows 1.77. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Toulouse's games and 59% of Paris's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 59%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.26 per game. Toulouse takes 12.8 shots per game, while Paris takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Toulouse leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Paris leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toulouse's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Paris, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toulouse displays significantly better home form with a 36% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home match with a solid 12% conversion rate and a high xG of 1.59. Paris FC is in a difficult away situation with only a 27% win rate on the road, a negative -5 goal difference, and poor form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.6 points per game). The visitors concede an average of 1.55 goals away, which, combined with their low offensive efficiency (1.09 goals on average), puts them at a disadvantage. Toulouse should capitalize on their home advantage and secure the three points, although Paris FC is capable of fighting for draws, as evidenced by their 27% draw rate away from home.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toulouse is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Toulouse · 1.2 pts / game - Paris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.18 goals / game - Paris
Toulouse is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Toulouse · 1.77 goals / game - Paris
Toulouse scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
Paris scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Paris
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toulouse is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Toulouse · 0.82 pts / game - Paris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paris - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toulouse
Paris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Paris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.64 | 2.83 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 79% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Toulouse's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Paris. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Paris?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 1:1 Paris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Paris?
Toulouse score 1.45 goals per game on average and Paris 1.18. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Toulouse's matches and 59% of Paris's.
What form are Toulouse and Paris in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Paris 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Paris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toulouse vs Paris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.