Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of 22 July 2026

TPS vs HJK: match statistics

TPS crest
TPS
1 : 0half-time 0:0
HJK crest
HJK

TPS vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

TPS play HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. HJK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. HJK scores 1.69 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: TPS 56%, HJK 44%. Over 2.5: TPS 50%, HJK 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.45. TPS: 11.7 shots per match, HJK: 13.0.

Match halves

TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. HJK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). HJK: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

TPS has a clear edge in chance creation: at home they average 12 shots and 4.67 on target with average xG 1.47, while HJK away records 7.67 shots, 3 on target and xG 1.01. Both teams average 1.67 goals scored and concede 0.67, but TPS generates about 56% more shots and 0.46 higher xG, translating into a greater number of high-quality chances. HJK compensates for fewer opportunities with higher efficiency – their shot conversion is 22% versus TPS’s 14% – so a lower volume of shots can still yield away goals. In the last 5 matches TPS scored 8 and conceded 5 (PPG 1.8), while HJK scored 6 and conceded 3 (PPG 1.6), giving a slight points advantage to the hosts. Based on this I predict a TPS win, assigning the hosts 55% probability, a draw 25% and an HJK away win 20%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
TPSHJK
5Shots22
TPSHJK
4Shots on target4
TPSHJK
0.8xG2.31
TPSHJK
4Corners11
TPSHJK
27Dangerous attacks89
TPSHJK
13Fouls11
TPSHJK
2Cards1
TPSHJK

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match1.69
TPSHJK
1.19Goals conceded / match1.25
TPSHJK
47%Average possession52%
TPSHJK
4.38Shots on target / match4.44
TPSHJK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.69Shots per match13
TPSHJK
4.38Shots on target4.44
TPSHJK
10.7%Shot conversion13%
TPSHJK
47%Possession52%
TPSHJK
1.45xG for1.53
TPSHJK
1.59xG against1.46
TPSHJK

Shooting quality

TPS: BalancedHJK: Efficient finishing
TPSHJK
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

TPS
DWLWL
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
HJK
DWLLW
Season result split
44% W25% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-5
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - TPS · 1.69 goals / match - HJK

TPS is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - TPS · 1.25 goals / match - HJK

TPS scoring profile: very strong

TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

HJK scoring profile: strong

HJK scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

20Goals scored (season)27
TPSHJK
19Goals conceded (season)20
TPSHJK
2.44Average goals in match2.94
TPSHJK
8Goals scored (last 5)9
TPSHJK
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
TPSHJK

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal75%
TPSHJK
31%2 goals44%
TPSHJK
13%3 goals31%
TPSHJK
0%4 goals13%
TPSHJK

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
TPSHJK
38%2 goals38%
TPSHJK
13%3 goals13%
TPSHJK
0%4 goals6%
TPSHJK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
TPSHJK
6%BTTS in both halves13%
TPSHJK
25%Scored in both halves44%
TPSHJK

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
TPSHJK
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
TPSHJK
60%BTTS - last 540%
TPSHJK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
TPSHJK
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
TPSHJK
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
TPSHJK

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
TPSHJK
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
TPSHJK
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
TPSHJK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - TPS · 1.38 pts / match - HJK

TPS - half-time state
19% leading44% draw38% trailing
HJK - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.38
TPSHJK
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.63
TPSHJK
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TPSHJK
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.25
TPSHJK
56%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TPSHJK
56%No goal before half-time38%
TPSHJK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.63
TPSHJK
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
TPSHJK
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
TPSHJK
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.69
TPSHJK
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
TPSHJK
38%No goal after half-time44%
TPSHJK

TPS - second-half results

31% W44% R25% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HJK - second-half results

44% W31% R25% P
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

TPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

HJK
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

TPSLigaHJK
Average goals in match 2.442.67 2.94
Both teams scored 56%51% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 56%
Clean sheets 31%28% 31%
Goal before half-time 63%75% 88%
Goal after half-time 81%78% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of TPS vs HJK?

The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 1:0 HJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs HJK?

TPS score 1.25 goals per game on average and HJK 1.69. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of TPS's matches and 44% of HJK's.

What form are TPS and HJK in?

Over the last 5 games TPS have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and HJK 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs HJK?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TPS vs HJK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.