Estonia - MeistriliigaKreenholmi StaadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Trans vs Kuressaare: match statistics

Trans crest
Trans
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Kuressaare crest
Kuressaare

Trans vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Trans played against Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on October 14, 2026. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Trans has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Kuressaare has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Trans scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 2.23. Kuressaare scores 1.10 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Trans's games and 50% of Kuressaare's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.48 per game. Trans takes 12.5 shots per game, while Kuressaare takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Trans leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Kuressaare leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.53 after halftime.

When the teams score

Trans's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Kuressaare, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Trans hold a slight advantage thanks to home-field advantage: they score an average of 1.13 goals at home, while Kuressaare score 0.87 goals away and fail to find the net in 53% of their matches. The hosts create chances at home worth an average xG of 1.58, while the visitors allow opponents an xG of 2.14 away, giving Trans a chance to break through. However, Kuressaare have the edge in recent form: they have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Trans have yet to win and have scored just 4 goals. Both defenses remain a concern—each side has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches—so despite the lean towards the hosts, a draw or an away win remains a realistic outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

I’m backing both teams to score, although the case for this outcome is only marginal: BTTS landed in 57% of Trans matches and 47% of Kuressaare matches, rising to 60% across each team’s last 5 games. Clean sheets are rare — Trans kept one in 14% of matches, while Kuressaare did so in just 7% — and both teams conceded 2.0 goals per game over their last 5 matches. Their attacking potential also supports this outcome, with average xG of 1.52 for the hosts and 1.47 for the visitors. However, the frequency of matches in which they failed to score — 43% and 53%, respectively — tempers confidence, so the edge for BTTS - Yes remains moderate.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 71% of Trans’s matches and 67% of Kuressaare’s. Both defenses allow opponents chances, with Trans and Kuressaare conceding average xG of 1.87 and 2.14, respectively. Over their last five matches, each team has conceded an average of 2.0 goals, further supporting at least two goals in this game. The projected total of 3.0 goals also points towards a higher-scoring outcome, but Over 2.5 has less support in the results to date: the line has been surpassed in 64% of Trans’s matches and 53% of Kuressaare’s.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal for Kuressaare to lead at the break comes from the last five matches: the visitors were ahead at half-time twice, while Trans were trailing at the break as many as four times. Over this period, Kuressaare averaged 1.2 goals before half-time compared with Trans’s 0.4; Trans failed to win any of their five matches, while the visitors won two. Kuressaare could hold on to their lead, as Trans failed to score after half-time in 60% of their last five matches, although Kuressaare conceded an average of 1.0 goals in that period. Full-season data temper confidence in this pick: the hosts average 1.29 goals per match compared with the visitors’ 0.87, so a Trans turnaround remains a realistic scenario. Nevertheless, the clear difference in recent first-half performances and the visitors’ better results narrowly favor Kuressaare to lead at half-time and win at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
TransKuressaare
12Shots9
TransKuressaare
4Shots on target5
TransKuressaare
1.48xG1.26
TransKuressaare
8Corners2
TransKuressaare
60Dangerous attacks46
TransKuressaare
12Fouls7
TransKuressaare
1Cards1
TransKuressaare

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.8Goals scored / game1.1
TransKuressaare
2.23Goals allowed / game1.63
TransKuressaare
44%Average possession40%
TransKuressaare
3.73Shots on target / game4.27
TransKuressaare

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.5Shots per game11.93
TransKuressaare
3.73Shots on target4.27
TransKuressaare
6.4%Shot conversion9.2%
TransKuressaare
44%Possession40%
TransKuressaare
1.48xG for1.48
TransKuressaare
1.71xG against1.99
TransKuressaare

Shooting quality

Trans: BalancedKuressaare: Balanced
TransKuressaare
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kuressaare is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Trans · 1.4 pts / game - Kuressaare

Trans
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-20
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -43
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-8
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LDLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Kuressaare
WLLDW
Season result split
30% W17% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-16
1.07 pts / game · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kuressaare is 38% better for: goals scored per game.

0.8 goals / game - Trans · 1.1 goals / game - Kuressaare

Kuressaare is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.23 goals / game - Trans · 1.63 goals / game - Kuressaare

Trans scoring profile: strong

Trans scores in 53% of games (16 of 30 games), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 games).

Kuressaare scoring profile: strong

Kuressaare scores in 53% of games (16 of 30 games), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 games).

24Goals scored (season)33
TransKuressaare
67Goals conceded (season)49
TransKuressaare
3.03Average goals per game2.73
TransKuressaare
6Goals scored (last 5)6
TransKuressaare
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
TransKuressaare

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal53%
TransKuressaare
20%2 goals37%
TransKuressaare
7%3 goals20%
TransKuressaare
0%4 goals0%
TransKuressaare

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal87%
TransKuressaare
67%2 goals53%
TransKuressaare
33%3 goals17%
TransKuressaare
13%4 goals7%
TransKuressaare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
TransKuressaare
0%BTTS in both halves3%
TransKuressaare
10%Scored in both halves23%
TransKuressaare

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
TransKuressaare
27%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
TransKuressaare
80%BTTS - last 540%
TransKuressaare

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
TransKuressaare
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
TransKuressaare
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
TransKuressaare

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
TransKuressaare
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
TransKuressaare
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
TransKuressaare

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kuressaare is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / game - Trans · 1.13 pts / game - Kuressaare

Trans - half-time state
20% leading23% draw57% trailing
Kuressaare - half-time state
27% leading33% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per game (1st half)1.13
TransKuressaare
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.57
TransKuressaare
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TransKuressaare
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.2
TransKuressaare
30%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TransKuressaare
67%No goal before half-time60%
TransKuressaare

After half-time (2nd half)

0.7Points per game (2nd half)0.8
TransKuressaare
0.3Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
TransKuressaare
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)1
TransKuressaare
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.53
TransKuressaare
23%Clean sheet after half-time30%
TransKuressaare
70%No goal after half-time63%
TransKuressaare

Trans - second-half results

17% W20% D63% L
25
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-25
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 17%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kuressaare - second-half results

13% W40% D47% L
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Trans - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game1.40.6
Average goals per game2.21.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Trans
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
8
16-30
6
18
31-45
1
7
46-60
3
11
61-75
5
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
10
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TransLigaKuressaare
Average goals per game• 3.033.12▼ 2.73
Both teams scored▼ 47%57%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%64%▼ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 10%23%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%76%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%88%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TransSubstitutionOn: Yenerey Betancor PérezOff: Nikita Baljabkin
  2. KuressaareSubstitutionOn: Rasmus TaluOff: Andero Kivi
  3. KuressaareSubstitutionOn: Gregor RõivasseppOff: Rando Tarkmeel
  4. KuressaareYellow cardSten Patrick Prunn
  5. TransSubstitutionOn: Denis PolyakovOff: Jegor Žuravljov
  6. KuressaareGoalAleksander Švedovski
  7. TransYellow cardYenerey Betancor Pérez

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Trans's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses against Kuressaare. Games average 2.43 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.

Kuressaare
3 : 1
Trans
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Trans
Trans
1 : 2
Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
0 : 0
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
3 : 2
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
2 : 1
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
0 : 2
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

What was the result of Trans vs Kuressaare?

The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 0:1 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Kuressaare?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Trans won 1, Kuressaare won 4 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Kuressaare?

Trans score 0.80 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.10. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Trans's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.

What form are Trans and Kuressaare in?

Over the last 5 games Trans have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Kuressaare 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Kuressaare?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trans vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.