Estonia - MeistriliigaKreenholmi StaadionData current as of October 15, 2026

Trans vs Paide: match statistics

Trans crest
Trans
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Paide crest
Paide

Trans vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Trans played against Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on August 16, 2026. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Trans has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Paide has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Trans scores 0.77 goals per game and allows 2.27. Paide scores 1.57 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Trans's games and 67% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 52%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.48 per game. Trans takes 12.4 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Trans leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.32 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.81 after halftime.

When the teams score

Trans's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Paide sit 4th, while Trans are 10th, and over the course of the season the visitors have won 10 matches compared with the hosts’ 5 victories. Away from home, Paide average 1.82 goals and create chances worth 1.77 xG, compared with Trans’ 1.18 goals and 1.63 xG at home. The visitors are also clearly more clinical: they convert 12% of their shots, register 5.09 shots on target per match, and have failed to score in only 9% of their away fixtures; Trans have failed to find the net in 27% of their home matches. Both defenses concede an average of 1.73 goals per match, which makes the hosts’ excellent recent run of 13 goals scored and just 4 conceded in their last five appearances particularly significant. Despite Trans’ improvement, Paide’s greater consistency over the season, along with their edge in chance creation and finishing, gives the visitors a slight advantage, although a both-teams-to-score scenario remains a realistic outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for goals from both sides is primarily strengthened by Paide, whose matches have ended with BTTS in 82% of cases, compared with the league average of 57%. Trans have been highly effective recently, scoring 13 goals in their previous five matches, or 2.6 per game, while Paide conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period. The hosts also create chances worth 1.88 xG per match, whereas the visitors allow opponents 2.07 xG, which clearly supports the likelihood of them scoring. Paide should respond, as they average 5.09 shots on target and generate 1.77 xG, although Trans’ strong recent defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game across their last five appearances, reduces confidence in the pick. The arguments for both teams to score are only marginally stronger, but Paide’s poor clean-sheet rate of just 9% shifts the prediction towards BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Trans are in very good scoring form, averaging 2.6 goals over their last five matches, while Paide conceded 2.0 goals per game during this period. The hosts averaged 1.88 xG in this span, while Paide’s defense allowed opponents 2.07 xG, strongly supporting at least one Trans goal. Paide still possess offensive potential: they average 1.82 goals per game this season, record 1.77 xG, and have scored in 91% of their matches. Paide’s games went Over 1.5 goals in 82% of cases and Over 2.5 goals in 64%, while Trans covered the 2.5-goal line in 60% of their last five appearances. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.05 goals provides a substantial safety margin even if one side is less clinical.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Trans have a clearly stronger first-half profile: they led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, whereas Paide have not led at half-time on any occasion. Over this period, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded before the break, while the visitors scored 0.4 and allowed their opponents to score 1.4 goals. Across their last five matches overall, Trans also averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, whereas Paide conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game. Paide are capable of creating chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.77 and 5.09 shots on target per match, but their vulnerable defense—conceding 1.73 goals per game this season—further supports the scenario of Trans taking the lead at half-time and holding on for the win.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

29Possession (%)71
TransPaide
11Shots13
TransPaide
3Shots on target2
TransPaide
1.21xG1.38
TransPaide
2Corners4
TransPaide
43Dangerous attacks58
TransPaide
9Fouls11
TransPaide
3Cards2
TransPaide

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.77Goals scored / game1.57
TransPaide
2.27Goals allowed / game1.33
TransPaide
44%Average possession55%
TransPaide
3.5Shots on target / game4.38
TransPaide

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.45Shots per game14.05
TransPaide
3.5Shots on target4.38
TransPaide
6.2%Shot conversion11.2%
TransPaide
44%Possession55%
TransPaide
1.48xG for1.68
TransPaide
1.73xG against1.57
TransPaide

Shooting quality

Trans: BalancedPaide: Dominant
TransPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)28%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Trans · 2 pts / game - Paide

Trans
LLWWL
Season result split
23% W5% D73% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-16
0.73 pts / game · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Paide
WDWLW
Season result split
48% W24% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-6
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 104% better for: goals scored per game.

0.77 goals / game - Trans · 1.57 goals / game - Paide

Paide is 71% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.27 goals / game - Trans · 1.33 goals / game - Paide

Trans scoring profile: strong

Trans scores in 50% of games (11 of 22 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 games).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 games), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 games).

17Goals scored (season)33
TransPaide
50Goals conceded (season)28
TransPaide
3.05Average goals per game2.9
TransPaide
6Goals scored (last 5)9
TransPaide
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
TransPaide

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal90%
TransPaide
18%2 goals43%
TransPaide
9%3 goals19%
TransPaide
0%4 goals5%
TransPaide

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal76%
TransPaide
64%2 goals33%
TransPaide
36%3 goals14%
TransPaide
14%4 goals5%
TransPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
TransPaide
0%BTTS in both halves10%
TransPaide
14%Scored in both halves38%
TransPaide

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
TransPaide
32%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransPaide
60%BTTS - last 580%
TransPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
TransPaide
59%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
TransPaide
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
TransPaide

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
TransPaide
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
TransPaide
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
TransPaide

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / game - Trans · 1.52 pts / game - Paide

Trans - half-time state
18% leading27% draw55% trailing
Paide - half-time state
33% leading52% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per game (1st half)1.52
TransPaide
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.76
TransPaide
1.09Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
TransPaide
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.38
TransPaide
36%Clean sheet before half-time67%
TransPaide
68%No goal before half-time43%
TransPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

0.73Points per game (2nd half)1.57
TransPaide
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
TransPaide
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
TransPaide
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.52
TransPaide
23%Clean sheet after half-time48%
TransPaide
68%No goal after half-time29%
TransPaide

Trans - second-half results

18% W18% D64% L
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paide - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
32
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Trans - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paide - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.60
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game1.40.2
Average goals per game2.21.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Trans
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
4
7
16-30
5
12
31-45
0
5
46-60
2
7
61-75
5
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
5
6
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TransLigaPaide
Average goals per game• 3.053.09▼ 2.90
Both teams scored▼ 41%57%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 73%64%▼ 52%
Clean sheets▼ 14%23%• 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%74%▼ 62%
Goal after half-time▲ 95%89%• 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TransSubstitutionOn: Jegor ŽuravljovOff: Irié Bi Séhi Elysée
  2. TransYellow cardTomás Berardozzi
  3. TransSubstitutionOn: Arnas BesigirskisOff: Aleksander Filatov
  4. PaideSubstitutionOn: Abdourahman BadamosiOff: Daniel Luts
  5. TransYellow cardWisdom Awusi
  6. TransYellow cardJegor Žuravljov

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Trans's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Paide. Games average 1.83 goals, and both teams scored in 17% of them.

Trans
1 : 0
Paide
Paide
1 : 0
Trans
JK Narva Trans
2 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 1
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

What was the result of Trans vs Paide?

The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 1:1 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Paide?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Trans won 3, Paide won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Paide?

Trans score 0.77 goals per game on average and Paide 1.57. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Trans's matches and 67% of Paide's.

What form are Trans and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Trans have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Paide?

The statistical background for Trans vs Paide — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.