Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Trans played against Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on July 4, 2026. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Trans has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Tallinna FC Levadia has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Trans scores 0.65 goals per game and allows 2.35. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.56 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 3.02 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Trans's games and 72% of Tallinna FC Levadia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 72%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tallinna FC Levadia has the higher season xG average, 2.31 to 1.60 per game. Trans takes 13.5 shots per game, while Tallinna FC Levadia takes 19.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Trans leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Tallinna FC Levadia leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.28 after halftime.
When the teams score
Trans's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Tallinna FC Levadia, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.02 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Levadia holds a clear advantage in the table and efficiency: they sit 1st with a record of 13 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss and a goal difference of 46-15, while Trans is 10th with 3 wins, 1 draw and 13 losses and a 11-40 record. The gap translates into match parameters: Levadia away scores on average 2.56 goals and concedes 0.89, with average xG 2.51 vs xG against 1.08; Trans at home scores 1.13 and concedes 1.63 with xG 1.87 and xG against 1.6. The visitors also create more and better chances: 21.56 shots and 7.56 shots on target per away match vs Trans’s 16.13 shots and 4.5 on target at home, with conversion rates 12% vs 7% and possession 56% vs 48%. Form trends reinforce Levadia as favorites — in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 8 goals and average 2.0 points per game, while Trans, despite 11 goals in their last five, have only 0.8 points and conceded 6 goals in that period, indicating issues converting chances into points. Considering higher xG (2.51 vs 1.87), Levadia’s 89% away win rate and 0% away losses in the data, I tip an away win; I propose probability distribution 10% for the home side, 12% for a draw and 78% for a Levadia win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tallinna FC Levadia has a seasonal BTTS rate of 89% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with an average xG of 2.51 and 7.56 shots on target per game and only 11% clean sheets, which strongly indicates the visitors regularly score while also conceding. Trans away records a seasonal BTTS of 56% and an average of 2.56 goals scored, but their BTTS in the last 5 matches dropped to 20%, reducing the hosts’ reliability as a goals guarantee. Offensive comparison favors Levadia: xG 2.51 vs 2.12, 21.56 shots vs 17.89 and 7.56 vs 6.0 shots on target, while the league averages 3.01 goals per match, which supports Goal/Goal outcomes. Additionally, Levadia have scored 46 goals this season versus Trans’s 11, and Trans have conceded 40 goals; so despite Trans’s higher clean sheet rate 44% (vs 11% Levadia), Levadia’s scoring advantage and consistent BTTS record prevail and point to a bet on BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect approximately 3.40 goals in total: Trans ~1.60 and Tallinna FC Levadia ~1.80, calculated as the average of team offensive xG (2.12 vs 2.51) and opponent defensive xG (1.08 for both). Seasonal indicators also point to significant scoring potential: seasonal goals averages 2.56 for hosts and 2.56 for visitors, percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 67% for Trans and 78% for Levadia, and BTTS is 56% vs 89%. A Poisson model with an expected total of 3.40 yields P(Over 1.5) ≈85%, P(Over 2.5) ≈66% and P(Over 3.5) ≈44%, making Over 1.5 the strongest and most probable bet. Shooting volume confirms scoring potential: Trans averages 17.9 shots (6.0 on target) with a 14% conversion, Levadia 21.6 shots (7.56 on target) with a 12% conversion. Considering xG, high percentages of matches above 2.5 and strong BTTS rates, I recommend betting Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: over) as the safest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Trans led at the break in 6 of the matches (67%), scoring an average of 1.33 goals before halftime and conceding only 0.11, which demonstrates strong home starts. However, Tallinna FC Levadia shows dominant form and metrics: they win 89% of their season matches, have a higher xG of 2.51 versus Trans’s 2.12, and register more shots per game (21.56 vs 17.89). In second halves the visitors average 2.11 points compared to the home side’s 1.78, and the post-break goal tally is 9 for Levadia versus 5 for Trans, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after the break. Additionally, the share of matches with both teams scoring is 56% for Trans and 89% for Levadia, and the average goals per game are around 3.3–3.4 (3.33 vs 3.44), so the probability of changes and goals in the second half is high. On this basis the most reliable signal is an HT/FT 1/2: Trans leads at the break (67%), but Levadia has the statistical assets to win by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Trans | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Trans · 2 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 294% better for: goals scored per game.
0.65 goals / game - Trans · 2.56 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 183% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.35 goals / game - Trans · 0.83 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Trans scores in 47% of games (8 of 17 meczów), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of games (18 of 18 meczów), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trans
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 190% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Trans · 2.06 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trans - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 72%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Trans
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Trans | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.00 | 3.02 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 56% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 89% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Trans's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses against Tallinna FC Levadia. Games average 3.80 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 1:3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Trans won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Trans score 0.65 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.56. The Meistriliiga average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Trans's matches and 72% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Trans and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Trans have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The statistical background for Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.