Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of October 25, 2026

TransMara Sugar vs Leopards: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

TransMara Sugar vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

TransMara Sugar plays Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

Recent form

TransMara Sugar has 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.67 points per game. Leopards has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

TransMara Sugar scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.00. Leopards scores 1.00 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.90 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of TransMara Sugar's games and 50% of Leopards's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

TransMara Sugar has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.16 per game. TransMara Sugar takes 14.0 shots per game, while Leopards takes 8.0.

First-half and second-half trends

TransMara Sugar leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Leopards leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

TransMara Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Leopards, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 1.90 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

TransMara SugarLeopards
1.33Goals scored / game1
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Goals allowed / game0.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
44%Average possession56%
TransMara SugarLeopards
3.33Shots on target / game2
TransMara SugarLeopards

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14Shots per game8
TransMara SugarLeopards
3.33Shots on target2
TransMara SugarLeopards
9.5%Shot conversion12.5%
TransMara SugarLeopards
44%Possession56%
TransMara SugarLeopards
1.68xG for1.16
TransMara SugarLeopards
1.44xG against1.1
TransMara SugarLeopards

Shooting quality

TransMara Sugar: AttackingLeopards: Balanced
TransMara SugarLeopards
Accuracy (shots on target)24%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Leopards is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.67 pts / game - TransMara Sugar · 2 pts / game - Leopards

TransMara Sugar
DWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
33% W67% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Leopards
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 33% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - TransMara Sugar · 1 goals / game - Leopards

Leopards is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - TransMara Sugar · 0.5 goals / game - Leopards

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: mixed

TransMara Sugar scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Leopards scoring profile: mixed

Leopards scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

4Goals scored (season)2
TransMara SugarLeopards
3Goals conceded (season)1
TransMara SugarLeopards
2.33Average goals per game1.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
4Goals scored (last 5)2
TransMara SugarLeopards
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
TransMara SugarLeopards

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
67%2 goals50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%3 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%2 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%3 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Scored in both halves0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
67%BTTS - last 550%
TransMara SugarLeopards

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TransMara Sugar is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / game - TransMara Sugar · 1 pts / game - Leopards

TransMara Sugar - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Leopards - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per game (1st half)1
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Goals scored (1st half)0
TransMara SugarLeopards
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Average goals (1st half)0
TransMara SugarLeopards
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%No goal before half-time100%
TransMara SugarLeopards

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per game (2nd half)2
TransMara SugarLeopards
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
67%No goal after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Leopards - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

TransMara Sugar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.330.33
Goals scored / game1.00.3
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.01.3
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Leopards - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.01.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Leopards
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.92
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Leopards

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TransMara SugarLigaLeopards
Average goals per game▲ 2.331.90▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 67%43%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%29%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 33%40%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%38%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%71%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / game
0.86
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from TransMara Sugar's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Leopards. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Leopards
2 : 1
TransMara Sugar
TransMara Sugar
2 : 0
Leopards
TransMara Sugar
2 : 0
Leopards

FAQ

When do TransMara Sugar and Leopards play?

TransMara Sugar face Leopards on October 28, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between TransMara Sugar and Leopards?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches TransMara Sugar won 2, Leopards won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Leopards?

TransMara Sugar score 1.33 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 67% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 50% of Leopards's.

What form are TransMara Sugar and Leopards in?

Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Leopards 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Leopards?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TransMara Sugar vs Leopards: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.