TransMara Sugar vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

TransMara Sugar play Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 13:00. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

TransMara Sugar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Murang'a SEAL: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

TransMara Sugar scores 0.93 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.24 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: TransMara Sugar 39%, Murang'a SEAL 62%. Over 2.5: TransMara Sugar 29%, Murang'a SEAL 45%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.48. TransMara Sugar: 11.3 shots per match, Murang'a SEAL: 11.5.

Match halves

TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21. Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.31.

Goals by minute

TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (20 goals). Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (24 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
9Shots10
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
2Shots on target4
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
1.45xG1.44
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
5Corners1
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
100Dangerous attacks70
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
-1Fouls-1
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
-1Cards-1
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.93Goals scored / match1.24
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.89Goals conceded / match1.28
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
44%Average possession51%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
2.68Shots on target / match4.07
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.25Shots per match11.52
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
2.68Shots on target4.07
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
8.3%Shot conversion10.8%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
44%Possession51%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
1.54xG for1.48
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
1.51xG against1.55
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

Shooting quality

TransMara Sugar: BalancedMurang'a SEAL: Balanced
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
Accuracy (shots on target)24%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

TransMara Sugar is 700% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 0.2 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL

TransMara Sugar
DDLWW
Season result split
29% W46% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-13-7
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Murang'a SEAL
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
34% W28% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-11
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Murang'a SEAL is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.24 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL

TransMara Sugar is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.28 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: strong

TransMara Sugar scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).

Murang'a SEAL scoring profile: strong

Murang'a SEAL scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).

26Goals scored (season)36
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
25Goals conceded (season)37
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
1.82Average goals in match2.52
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
2Goals scored (last 5)4
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
1Goals conceded (last 5)10
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal76%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
29%2 goals41%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
7%3 goals7%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal79%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
18%2 goals31%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
11%3 goals14%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0%4 goals3%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time7%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
4%Scored in both halves14%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0%BTTS - last 560%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

11%Min. 1 goal before half-time38%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
7%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

2nd half

21%Min. 1 goal after half-time41%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
7%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Murang'a SEAL is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.07 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL

TransMara Sugar - half-time state
0% leading93% draw7% trailing
Murang'a SEAL - half-time state
14% leading66% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per match (1st half)1.07
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.04Goals scored (1st half)0.21
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.34
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.18Average goals (1st half)0.55
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
89%Clean sheet before half-time76%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
96%No goal before half-time79%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.28
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.24
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
0.36Average goals (2nd half)0.55
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
89%Clean sheet after half-time79%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL
86%No goal after half-time72%
TransMara SugarMurang'a SEAL

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

11% W82% R7% P
26
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Murang'a SEAL - second-half results

21% W66% R14% P
31
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding243%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

TransMara Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Murang'a SEAL - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.00.4
1 goal0%20%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
20
18
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Murang'a SEAL
ScoredConceded
24
22
0-15
1
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (24 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 77% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Murang'a SEAL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 67% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TransMara SugarLigaMurang'a SEAL
Average goals in match 1.822.01 2.52
Both teams scored 39%43% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%33% 45%
Clean sheets 39%36% 21%
Goal before half-time 11%21% 38%
Goal after half-time 21%22% 41%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
21%
1 goal
8%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
22%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of TransMara Sugar vs Murang'a SEAL?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished TransMara Sugar 1:3 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Murang'a SEAL?

TransMara Sugar score 0.93 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.24. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 39% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 62% of Murang'a SEAL's.

What form are TransMara Sugar and Murang'a SEAL in?

Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Murang'a SEAL?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TransMara Sugar vs Murang'a SEAL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.