TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers: match statistics
TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TransMara Sugar play Posta Rangers in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
TransMara Sugar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Posta Rangers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
TransMara Sugar scores 0.93 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Posta Rangers scores 0.83 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TransMara Sugar 39%, Posta Rangers 45%. Over 2.5: TransMara Sugar 29%, Posta Rangers 34%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.23. TransMara Sugar: 11.3 shots per match, Posta Rangers: 8.7.
Match halves
TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21. Posta Rangers: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.14.
Goals by minute
TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (20 goals). Posta Rangers: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
TransMara Sugar has a clear edge in the quality of chances at home: average xG for 1.47 and xG against 1.22, while Posta Rangers away have xG for 1.13 and xG against 1.53. The hosts attempt significantly more shots (11.31 on average at home vs 7.46 by the visitors away) and maintain a higher clean sheet rate 46% vs 23%, which translates into a lower average goals conceded at home 0.69 vs 1.31 by Posta Rangers on the road. However, the visitors are more efficient in finishing — shot conversion 9% vs 7% for the hosts — and in the last 5 matches they scored 7 goals and won 3 games (1.8 points per match), while TransMara scored 4 goals, won 1 and average 1.2 points per match. Additionally, TransMara fail to score in 62% of home games vs 54% for Posta Rangers, which may limit offensive output despite superior xG. Considering the advantage in chance creation (11.31 vs 7.46), better home xG (1.47 vs 1.13) and the hosts’ solid defense (0.69 goals conceded and 46% clean sheets), I give TransMara Sugar the higher probability of victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TransMara Sugar | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TransMara Sugar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 0.8 pts / match - Posta Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransMara Sugar is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 0.83 goals / match - Posta Rangers
TransMara Sugar is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.24 goals / match - Posta Rangers
TransMara Sugar scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Posta Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Posta Rangers scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — TransMara Sugar
Over / Under — Posta Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Posta Rangers is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.21 pts / match - Posta Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Posta Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TransMara Sugar
Posta Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| TransMara Sugar | Liga | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.01 | • 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 33% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 11% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal after half-time | • 21% | 22% | ▲ 24% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: TransMara Sugar 0 - 1 - 0 Posta Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished TransMara Sugar 1:0 Posta Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?
TransMara Sugar score 0.93 goals per game on average and Posta Rangers 0.83. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 39% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 45% of Posta Rangers's.
What form are TransMara Sugar and Posta Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Posta Rangers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.