TransMara Sugar vs Sofapaka: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be a close encounter between two teams in poor form. TransMara Sugar have a slightly better home record (20% wins, 30% draws), but they have not won any of their last 5 overall matches, averaging just 0.4 points per game. Sofapaka show an even weaker away form (22% wins, 67% losses) and have also failed to win any of their last 5 matches. Both teams struggle with efficiency - the hosts fail to score in 70% of their home games, while the visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches. The xG metrics are similar (0.79 vs 0.68), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering both teams' poor form, high FTS% rates, and the fact that both sides have drawn twice in their last 5 matches, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts have a slight home advantage.
TransMara Sugar vs Sofapaka: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
TransMara Sugar played against Sofapaka in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
TransMara Sugar has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Sofapaka has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
TransMara Sugar scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.00. Sofapaka scores 0.70 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of TransMara Sugar's games and 30% of Sofapaka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 30%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
TransMara Sugar has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.35 per game. TransMara Sugar takes 11.1 shots per game, while Sofapaka takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
TransMara Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Sofapaka leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
TransMara Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Sofapaka, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.03 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be a close encounter between two teams in poor form. TransMara Sugar have a slightly better home record (20% wins, 30% draws), but they have not won any of their last 5 overall matches, averaging just 0.4 points per game. Sofapaka show an even weaker away form (22% wins, 67% losses) and have also failed to win any of their last 5 matches. Both teams struggle with efficiency - the hosts fail to score in 70% of their home games, while the visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches. The xG metrics are similar (0.79 vs 0.68), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering both teams' poor form, high FTS% rates, and the fact that both sides have drawn twice in their last 5 matches, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts have a slight home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| TransMara Sugar | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
TransMara Sugar is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - TransMara Sugar · 0.2 pts / game - Sofapaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransMara Sugar is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
0.85 goals / game - TransMara Sugar · 0.7 goals / game - Sofapaka
TransMara Sugar is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - TransMara Sugar · 1.3 goals / game - Sofapaka
TransMara Sugar scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
Sofapaka scores in 40% of games (8 of 20 meczów), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - TransMara Sugar
Over / Under - Sofapaka
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sofapaka is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - TransMara Sugar · 1.1 pts / game - Sofapaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
TransMara Sugar
Sofapaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| TransMara Sugar | Liga | Sofapaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.85 | 2.03 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | • 30% | 30% | • 30% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from TransMara Sugar's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Sofapaka. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of TransMara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished TransMara Sugar 3:1 Sofapaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
TransMara Sugar score 0.85 goals per game on average and Sofapaka 0.70. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 40% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 30% of Sofapaka's.
What form are TransMara Sugar and Sofapaka in?
Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Sofapaka 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TransMara Sugar vs Sofapaka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.