Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics

TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

TransMara Sugar plays Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for March 2, 2026.

Recent form

TransMara Sugar has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ulinzi Stars has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

TransMara Sugar scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.05. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.86 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of TransMara Sugar's games and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 36%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

TransMara Sugar has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.44 per game. TransMara Sugar takes 10.9 shots per game, while Ulinzi Stars takes 10.1.

First-half and second-half trends

TransMara Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.14 after halftime.

When the teams score

TransMara Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (16 goals). For Ulinzi Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
1Goals scored / game0.86
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
1.05Goals allowed / game1.09
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
43%Average possession49%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
2.64Shots on target / game3.45
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.95Shots per game10.14
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
2.64Shots on target3.45
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
9.1%Shot conversion8.5%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
43%Possession49%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
1.54xG for1.44
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
1.52xG against1.41
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

Shooting quality

TransMara Sugar: BalancedUlinzi Stars: Balanced
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
Accuracy (shots on target)24%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

TransMara Sugar is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - TransMara Sugar · 0.4 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars

TransMara Sugar
DLDWD
Season result split
23% W50% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-11-6
1.18 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Ulinzi Stars
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
18% W32% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-11
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - TransMara Sugar · 0.86 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: strong

TransMara Sugar scores in 59% of games (13 of 22 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).

Ulinzi Stars scoring profile: strong

Ulinzi Stars scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).

22Goals scored (season)19
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
23Goals conceded (season)24
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
2.05Average goals per game1.95
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
9Goals scored (last 5)3
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal68%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
32%2 goals9%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
9%3 goals9%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal77%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
23%2 goals27%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
14%3 goals5%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time9%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
5%Scored in both halves0%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
80%BTTS - last 560%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

14%Min. 1 goal before half-time23%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
9%Min. 2 goals before half-time9%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

2nd half

27%Min. 1 goal after half-time18%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
9%Min. 2 goals after half-time9%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TransMara Sugar is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / game - TransMara Sugar · 0.86 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars

TransMara Sugar - half-time state
0% leading91% draw9% trailing
Ulinzi Stars - half-time state
0% leading86% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per game (1st half)0.86
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0.05Goals scored (1st half)0.09
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0.18Goals conceded (1st half)0.23
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0.23Average goals (1st half)0.32
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
86%Clean sheet before half-time77%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
95%No goal before half-time91%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per game (2nd half)0.95
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.14
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.23
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
0.45Average goals (2nd half)0.36
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
86%Clean sheet after half-time86%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars
82%No goal after half-time86%
TransMara SugarUlinzi Stars

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

14% W77% R9% P
20
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ulinzi Stars - second-half results

5% W82% R14% P
19
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

TransMara Sugar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Ulinzi Stars - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
16
16
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Ulinzi Stars
ScoredConceded
14
16
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 73% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Ulinzi Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 74% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TransMara SugarLigaUlinzi Stars
Average goals per game 2.052.06 1.95
Both teams scored 45%46% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%34% 36%
Clean sheets 32%34% 23%
Goal before half-time 14%25% 23%
Goal after half-time 27%27% 18%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.06
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defensive advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
25%
1 goal
10%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
27%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from TransMara Sugar's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ulinzi Stars. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Ulinzi Stars
1 : 2
TransMara Sugar

FAQ

When do TransMara Sugar and Ulinzi Stars play?

TransMara Sugar face Ulinzi Stars on March 2, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?

TransMara Sugar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.86. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 45% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's.

What form are TransMara Sugar and Ulinzi Stars in?

Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?

The statistical background for TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.