TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
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TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TransMara Sugar play Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 2 March 2026 at 13:00.
Current form
TransMara Sugar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
TransMara Sugar scores 0.93 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TransMara Sugar 39%, Ulinzi Stars 55%. Over 2.5: TransMara Sugar 29%, Ulinzi Stars 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.41. TransMara Sugar: 11.3 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 10.1.
Match halves
TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.10.
Goals by minute
TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (20 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TransMara Sugar | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulinzi Stars is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransMara Sugar is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1.21 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
TransMara Sugar scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — TransMara Sugar
Over / Under — Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TransMara Sugar is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 0.86 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (26). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TransMara Sugar
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| TransMara Sugar | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 43% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 33% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 11% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal after half-time | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: TransMara Sugar 1 - 0 - 0 Ulinzi Stars. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do TransMara Sugar and Ulinzi Stars play?
TransMara Sugar face Ulinzi Stars on 2 March 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
TransMara Sugar score 0.93 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.97. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 39% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are TransMara Sugar and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
The statistical background for TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.