Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Trefelin vs Penybont: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Trefelin vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Trefelin plays Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for September 11, 2026.

Recent form

Trefelin has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Penybont has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Trefelin scores 0.43 goals per game and allows 2.57. Penybont scores 1.57 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Trefelin's games and 57% of Penybont's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.06 per game. Trefelin takes 8.4 shots per game, while Penybont takes 9.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Trefelin leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Penybont leads at halftime in 71% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Trefelin's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Penybont, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.43Goals scored / game1.57
TrefelinPenybont
2.57Goals allowed / game0.71
TrefelinPenybont
51%Average possession56%
TrefelinPenybont
2.86Shots on target / game4.14
TrefelinPenybont

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.43Shots per game9.14
TrefelinPenybont
2.86Shots on target4.14
TrefelinPenybont
5.1%Shot conversion17.2%
TrefelinPenybont
51%Possession56%
TrefelinPenybont
1.06xG for1.24
TrefelinPenybont
1.65xG against1.21
TrefelinPenybont

Shooting quality

Trefelin: BalancedPenybont: Efficient finishing
TrefelinPenybont
Accuracy (shots on target)34%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.150.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Penybont is 450% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Trefelin · 2.2 pts / game - Penybont

Trefelin
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W29% R71% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-5
0.29 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Penybont
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
57% W43% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-0
2.14 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Penybont is 265% better for: goals scored per game.

0.43 goals / game - Trefelin · 1.57 goals / game - Penybont

Penybont is 262% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.57 goals / game - Trefelin · 0.71 goals / game - Penybont

Trefelin scoring profile: mixed

Trefelin scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).

Penybont scoring profile: very strong

Penybont scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Trefelin keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).

3Goals scored (season)11
TrefelinPenybont
18Goals conceded (season)5
TrefelinPenybont
3Average goals per game2.29
TrefelinPenybont
3Goals scored (last 5)9
TrefelinPenybont
12Goals conceded (last 5)4
TrefelinPenybont

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal86%
TrefelinPenybont
0%2 goals57%
TrefelinPenybont
0%3 goals14%
TrefelinPenybont
0%4 goals0%
TrefelinPenybont

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal57%
TrefelinPenybont
71%2 goals14%
TrefelinPenybont
29%3 goals0%
TrefelinPenybont
29%4 goals0%
TrefelinPenybont

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
TrefelinPenybont
0%BTTS in both halves14%
TrefelinPenybont
0%Scored in both halves43%
TrefelinPenybont

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
TrefelinPenybont
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
TrefelinPenybont
60%BTTS - last 560%
TrefelinPenybont

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
TrefelinPenybont
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
TrefelinPenybont
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
TrefelinPenybont

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
TrefelinPenybont
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
TrefelinPenybont
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TrefelinPenybont

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Penybont is 738% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.29 pts / game - Trefelin · 2.43 pts / game - Penybont

Trefelin - half-time state
0% leading29% draw71% trailing
Penybont - half-time state
71% leading29% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.29Points per game (1st half)2.43
TrefelinPenybont
0Goals scored (1st half)1.14
TrefelinPenybont
1.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
TrefelinPenybont
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.43
TrefelinPenybont
29%Clean sheet before half-time71%
TrefelinPenybont
100%No goal before half-time14%
TrefelinPenybont

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.14
TrefelinPenybont
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
TrefelinPenybont
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
TrefelinPenybont
1.43Average goals (2nd half)0.86
TrefelinPenybont
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
TrefelinPenybont
57%No goal after half-time57%
TrefelinPenybont

Trefelin - second-half results

14% W57% R29% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.29
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Penybont - second-half results

14% W71% R14% P
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 57%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Trefelin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Penybont - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.20
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Trefelin
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
6
31-45
0
4
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Penybont
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Trefelin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
25%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
177%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

Penybont

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

TrefelinLigaPenybont
Average goals per game 3.003.14 2.29
Both teams scored 43%48% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%57% 57%
Clean sheets 0%27% 43%
Goal before half-time 71%79% 86%
Goal after half-time 57%84% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / game
1.45
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Trefelin and Penybont play?

Trefelin face Penybont on September 11, 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Trefelin vs Penybont?

Trefelin score 0.43 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Trefelin's matches and 57% of Penybont's.

What form are Trefelin and Penybont in?

Over the last 5 games Trefelin have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Penybont 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trefelin vs Penybont?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trefelin vs Penybont: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.