Trefelin vs Penybont: match statistics
Trefelin vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Trefelin played against Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on September 11, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Trefelin has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Penybont has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Trefelin scores 0.43 goals per game and allows 2.57. Penybont scores 1.57 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Trefelin's games and 57% of Penybont's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.06 per game. Trefelin takes 8.4 shots per game, while Penybont takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Trefelin leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Penybont leads at halftime in 71% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Trefelin's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Penybont, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont remain unbeaten in the league after 7 matches, recording 4 wins and 3 draws, while Trefelin have failed to win any of their 7 games and have suffered 5 defeats. The visitors are significantly more clinical away from home, averaging 2.33 goals per match compared with Trefelin’s 0.33 at home, while their finishing accuracy stands at 21% versus 3%. Penybont’s superiority is also evident in chance creation, as they average 1.48 xG away from home and 6 shots on target per match, whereas the hosts manage just 2.33 shots on target on average. Trefelin’s defense concedes 2.33 goals per home match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, while Penybont allow opponents just 0.84 xG and concede an average of one goal. Recent form over the last five matchdays also favors the visitors, who have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, while Trefelin have scored only 3 goals and conceded 12 during that period.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Penybont have very strong attacking potential: they average 2.33 goals, register 6 shots on target per match, and have scored 1.8 goals per game across their last five fixtures. Trefelin, meanwhile, have been less effective in attack, scoring only 3 goals in their last five matches—an average of 0.6—with an average xG of 1.18. The visitors are currently conceding just 0.8 goals per match, while their season-long xG against stands at only 0.84, limiting the hosts’ chances of scoring. Trefelin have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their league matches this season, but their defense has conceded as many as 12 goals in their last five outings, making a Penybont win with at least one team failing to score the most likely scenario. BTTS - Yes has landed in 60% of the last five matches for each side, but Trefelin’s poor recent finishing and the visitors’ solid defense give a slight edge to BTTS - No. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Penybont clearly offer greater attacking potential: they score an average of 2.33 goals, register 6.0 shots on target per match, and have an xG of 1.48. In their last five matches, Trefelin conceded an average of 2.4 goals, with an xG conceded to opponents of 1.67, which supports the expectation of at least two goals for the away side. At the same time, the hosts create chances worth 1.06 xG, while Penybont have allowed 1.05 xG in their last five matches, making a Trefelin goal a realistic scenario. Over 1.5 goals landed in 100% of Penybont’s matches, while their games produced noticeably more chances on average than the hosts’ matches. The Over 1.5 line has the edge, as the projected total of 2.60 goals provides a greater safety margin than the more balanced 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Penybont leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full time: the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches, while Trefelin have not led at half-time on any occasion. Over the same period, the hosts scored no goals before the break and conceded an average of 1.0, whereas Penybont scored 1.2 goals and allowed their opponents just 0.2. The visitors have also been clearly superior across their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game, 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, compared with Trefelin’s 0.4 points, 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Penybont’s offensive advantage is further supported by averages of 6.0 shots on target and an xG of 1.48, while the hosts record 3.0 shots on target and an xG of 1.06; therefore, the 2/2 scenario has the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Trefelin | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Penybont is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Trefelin · 2.2 pts / game - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 265% better for: goals scored per game.
0.43 goals / game - Trefelin · 1.57 goals / game - Penybont
Penybont is 262% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.57 goals / game - Trefelin · 0.71 goals / game - Penybont
Trefelin scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
Penybont scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Trefelin keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trefelin
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 738% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.29 pts / game - Trefelin · 2.43 pts / game - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trefelin - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 57%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Trefelin
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Trefelin | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 84% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Trefelin vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Trefelin 0:1 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Trefelin vs Penybont?
Trefelin score 0.43 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Trefelin's matches and 57% of Penybont's.
What form are Trefelin and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Trefelin have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Penybont 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trefelin vs Penybont?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trefelin vs Penybont: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.