Trento vs Folgore Caratese: match statistics
Trento vs Folgore Caratese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Trento played against Folgore Caratese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadio Briamasco. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Trento has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Folgore Caratese has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Trento scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 0.63. Folgore Caratese scores 1.13 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Trento's games and 75% of Folgore Caratese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 63%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Trento has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 1.63 per game. Trento takes 17.8 shots per game, while Folgore Caratese takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Trento leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Folgore Caratese leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Trento's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Folgore Caratese, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Trento are the favorites: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Folgore Caratese have won just once in 4 away games. Trento average 1.75 goals and 6.5 shots on target per match at home, compared with 1 goal and 3.5 shots on target per match for the visitors away from home. Trento’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their xG of 2.03, compared with their opponents’ 1.53. The hosts concede an average of just 0.25 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 75% of those matches, while the visitors have failed to score in half of their away games. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Trento have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, but their attacking and defensive advantage points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by the fact that both teams scored in 100% of Trento’s matches and 50% of Folgore Caratese’s. The hosts average 1.25 goals at home and have not failed to score there, although the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their away matches. Folgore average 1.0 goals away, while Trento concede 2.0 at home, increasing the likelihood of an away goal. However, caution is warranted: Folgore failed to score in 50% of their away matches, and Trento have conceded just 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches. Despite this risk, both teams scored in 80% of Folgore’s last five matches, so BTTS - Yes has a slight edge. BTTS - No would mean at least one team fails to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals: the 1.5 line was exceeded in 100% of Trento’s matches and 50% of Folgore Caratese’s. Trento average 1.72 xG, while Folgore Caratese average 1.53 xG, indicating goal-scoring potential on both sides; the hosts also average 5.5 shots on target compared with 3.5 for the visitors. In their last five matches, Trento scored an average of 1.6 goals, while Folgore Caratese conceded 1.4, so I attribute the larger share of the projected 2.8 goals to the hosts. Higher lines have weaker support: the 2.5-goal threshold was exceeded in 75% of Trento’s matches and 50% of the visitors’ matches, while the 3.5-goal threshold was reached in only 25% of each team’s matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than a bet requiring at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is likely: Trento went into the break level in 3 of its last 5 matches, while Folgore Caratese did so in 2 of 5. Both teams also often draw after 90 minutes — the hosts in 4 of their last 5 matches and the visitors in 2 of 5. Trento have the attacking edge, averaging 1.6 goals scored recently compared with the visitors’ 1.2, so X/1 remains a close alternative to the main pick. However, the low number of goals scored after half-time in the last five matches supports the draw holding: Trento averaged 0.6 and Folgore Caratese 0.4. Given these half-time results and frequent full-time draws, I’m backing X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Trento | Folgore Caratese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Trento is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Trento · 1 pts / game - Folgore Caratese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Trento is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Trento · 1.13 goals / game - Folgore Caratese
Trento is 138% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.63 goals / game - Trento · 1.5 goals / game - Folgore Caratese
Trento scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Folgore Caratese keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
Folgore Caratese scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Trento keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trento
Over / Under - Folgore Caratese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trento - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Folgore Caratese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Trento
Folgore Caratese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Trento | Liga | Folgore Caratese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 32% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
The Serie C Group A match finished Trento 1:0 Folgore Caratese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
Trento score 1.38 goals per game on average and Folgore Caratese 1.13. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Trento's matches and 75% of Folgore Caratese's.
What form are Trento and Folgore Caratese in?
Over the last 5 games Trento have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Folgore Caratese 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
The statistical background for Trento vs Folgore Caratese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.