Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tukums: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.68 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.14 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 91%, BFC Daugavpils 59%. Over 2.5: Tukums 77%, BFC Daugavpils 41%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.45. Tukums: 12.1 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 12.8.
Match halves
Tukums: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-2-2. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Match description
I back an away win: BFC Daugavpils is in markedly better form — 4 wins in the last 5 and averaging 2.4 points per game in that span, while Tukums has only 0.6 points per game over the last five and no home wins this season (0 home wins). Offensively the visitors have the edge: BFC scores 2.00 goals away on average, averages 4.67 shots on target and a 23% conversion rate, whereas Tukums scores 1.25 goals at home, has 3.5 shots on target and a 14% conversion. Defensively both teams are prone to conceding — Tukums concedes 1.75 goals per home match and BFC concedes 3.33 goals away, which points to an open, high-scoring game; xG shows similar offensive potential (Tukums xG 1.14 vs BFC xG 1.11) but higher xG against the visitors (1.99). Additionally the hosts have no clean sheets at home (0% clean sheets) and a negative home goal differential (-2), so it’s unlikely they’ll neutralize the visitors’ effective forwards. Considering BFC’s efficiency (9 goals in the last 5) vs Tukums (8 goals in the last 5) and the advantage in conversion and form, I estimate the visitors at ~55% chance, draw 25% and hosts 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BFC Daugavpils is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Tukums · 1.6 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Tukums · 1.14 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Tukums · 1.32 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
Tukums scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums
Over / Under — BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Tukums · 1.23 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.68 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 91% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tukums 1 - 2 - 2 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
The Virsliga match finished Tukums 1:1 BFC Daugavpils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tukums won 1, BFC Daugavpils won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums score 1.68 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.14. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 91% of Tukums's matches and 59% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are Tukums and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
The statistical background for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.