Tukums vs Riga: match statistics
Tukums vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums play Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 20 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Tukuma pilsētas stadions. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Tukums: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.65 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. Riga scores 2.96 and concedes 0.87. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 91%, Riga 57%. Over 2.5: Tukums 78%, Riga 83%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.42. Tukums: 11.9 shots per match, Riga: 17.2.
Match halves
Tukums: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. Riga: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). Riga: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 0-2-4. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Riga) — their season metrics make the difference: 9 wins, 3 draws and only 1 loss versus Tukums’ 2 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. Riga average 3.43 goals scored on the road with 14.86 shots and 6.71 shots on target, while Tukums at home average 2.43 goals with 11.14 shots and 5.29 shots on target, giving the visitors an offensive edge. The visitors also have higher xG (1.87 vs 1.44) and substantially greater possession (64% vs 44%), indicating better game control and quality of chances. Defensively Riga concede 1.14 goals away with an xG against of 1.06, whereas Tukums concede 1.29 at home with xG against 1.54 — Tukums partially benefits from opponents’ lower finishing, but that does not offset Riga’s advantage. Although Tukums scored 16 goals in the last 5 matches versus Riga’s 13, Riga show clearly better points form (2.2 points per match vs 1.6) and a 71% away win efficiency, so I assign a higher probability to an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Tukums · 2.96 goals / match - Riga
Riga is 134% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Tukums · 0.87 goals / match - Riga
Tukums scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
Riga scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums
Over / Under — Riga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 104% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Tukums · 2.22 pts / match - Riga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums
Riga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | Riga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.70 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 91% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 56% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 23% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tukums 0 - 2 - 4 Riga. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums vs Riga?
The Virsliga match finished Tukums 1:3 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and Riga?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tukums won 0, Riga won 4 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs Riga?
Tukums score 1.65 goals per game on average and Riga 2.96. The Virsliga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 91% of Tukums's matches and 57% of Riga's.
What form are Tukums and Riga in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Riga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs Riga?
The statistical background for Tukums vs Riga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.