Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Tulsa Roughnecks display solid home form with a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate at their own stadium, having not lost any home match this season. The hosts have a positive goal difference in home matches (+1) and a higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.07), indicating their offensive efficiency. Phoenix Rising are in a difficult away situation, losing all away matches (100% defeats) and conceding an average of 2 goals per game, without keeping a clean sheet so far. The recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), and Phoenix has a worse shot conversion rate (11% vs 13%). Considering Tulsa's home advantage and Phoenix Rising's disastrous away form, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Tulsa's tendency to share points at home.
Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tulsa Roughnecks played against Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Tulsa Roughnecks has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Phoenix Rising has 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 0.67 points per game.
Scoring records
Tulsa Roughnecks scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.33. Phoenix Rising scores 1.33 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Tulsa Roughnecks's games and 100% of Phoenix Rising's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tulsa Roughnecks has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.33 per game. Tulsa Roughnecks takes 12.0 shots per game, while Phoenix Rising takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Tulsa Roughnecks leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Phoenix Rising leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tulsa Roughnecks's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Phoenix Rising, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tulsa Roughnecks display solid home form with a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate at their own stadium, having not lost any home match this season. The hosts have a positive goal difference in home matches (+1) and a higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.07), indicating their offensive efficiency. Phoenix Rising are in a difficult away situation, losing all away matches (100% defeats) and conceding an average of 2 goals per game, without keeping a clean sheet so far. The recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), and Phoenix has a worse shot conversion rate (11% vs 13%). Considering Tulsa's home advantage and Phoenix Rising's disastrous away form, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Tulsa's tendency to share points at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data indicates a very high BTTS potential: both teams have a 100% BTTS record and 0% clean sheets, suggesting consistent concession of goals. Tulsa averages 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, while Phoenix averages 1.0 scored and a high 2.0 conceded, so both teams' profiles favor goal exchanges. In qualitative terms, xG also supports goals on both sides (xG for: 1.36 vs 1.27), and Tulsa's xGA of 1.44 increases the visitors' scoring chances. Shooting stats are solid (SOT 4.5 vs 4.0), which, with conversion rates of 13% and 11%, provides a realistic basis for at least one goal per side. The last 5 matches lower confidence (BTTS 40% Tulsa, 60% Phoenix), but the goal averages in this period (1.4–1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded each) still remain above the league's BTTS level of 56%. Consequently, the closest to the most likely scenario is BTTS: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal-scoring model based on seasonal data and xG indicates approximately 2.80 goals in the match (1.50 for Tulsa and 1.30 for Phoenix). Both teams have 0% clean sheets and 100% BTTS this season, which significantly increases the base probability of at least 2 goals. Tulsa scores an average of 1.5 goals, and Phoenix concedes an average of 2.0, supporting the scenario of a minimum of two goals even with moderate xG (1.36 vs 0.99). Furthermore, both teams generate a solid volume of shots on target (4.5 and 4.0 per match), which stabilizes goal production. The 1.5 line provides the strongest signal, as it is supported by both expected goals and defensive profiles (both teams regularly concede goals).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Tulsa's high tendency for draws at half-time in their last 5 matches (80% HT draw), combined with a complete absence of trailing at the break (0% HT trailing), which strongly supports a draw (X) at HT. Phoenix shows more first-half vulnerabilities over the season (100% of matches with a "trailing at HT" record) and has worse recent form over the last 5 games (1.0 PPG vs. Tulsa's 1.6). After the break, Tulsa appears more solid defensively (conceded_2hg_avg 0.5 vs. Phoenix's 1.0) and boasts a positive second-half goal difference (gd_2hg 1.0), supporting a shift towards a home win (1) at FT. In season-long data, Phoenix concedes more goals on average (2.0) than Tulsa (1.5), and with Tulsa's superior scoring output (1.5 goals/match), the hosts' chances of securing a late victory increase. Additionally, both teams have a 100% BTTS record, making a first-half draw with goals, followed by a second-half resolution in favor of the home side, the more probable outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tulsa Roughnecks is 99% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - Tulsa Roughnecks · 0.67 pts / game - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.33 goals / game - Phoenix Rising
Tulsa Roughnecks is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.67 goals / game - Phoenix Rising
Tulsa Roughnecks scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Phoenix Rising scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Tulsa Roughnecks keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tulsa Roughnecks
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tulsa Roughnecks - second-half results
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tulsa Roughnecks
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Phoenix RisingYellow cardJuan Esteban Carvajal Granados
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tulsa Roughnecks's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Phoenix Rising. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Tulsa Roughnecks 1:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tulsa Roughnecks and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tulsa Roughnecks won 3, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising?
Tulsa Roughnecks score 1.00 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tulsa Roughnecks's matches and 100% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Tulsa Roughnecks and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Tulsa Roughnecks have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.