Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics
Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tulsa Roughnecks played against Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on October 4, 2026. Venue: ONEOK Field. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Tulsa Roughnecks has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sacramento Republic has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Tulsa Roughnecks scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 0.92. Sacramento Republic scores 1.38 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Tulsa Roughnecks's games and 54% of Sacramento Republic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 35%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sacramento Republic has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.32 per game. Tulsa Roughnecks takes 11.0 shots per game, while Sacramento Republic takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Tulsa Roughnecks leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Sacramento Republic leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tulsa Roughnecks's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Sacramento Republic, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tulsa Roughnecks win 50% of their home matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of them, giving the hosts an edge over Sacramento Republic, who win 23% of their away games. However, the visitors are in better form: they have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches, while Tulsa have posted 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss. Sacramento create slightly better chances away from home, averaging 1.38 xG compared with Tulsa’s 1.23 xG at home, but both teams score 1 goal per match in these conditions. The hosts’ defensive record remains an advantage: they concede an average of 0.58 goals at home, while Sacramento concede 1.00 away. Home advantage and a more solid defense give Tulsa a slight edge, although 54% of Sacramento’s away matches end in a draw, making a share of the points a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
It is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No). Tulsa keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches and concede an average of 0.75 goals, while Sacramento score an average of 1.00 goals away from home and fail to score in 31% of their matches. The hosts have the stronger attack, averaging 1.67 goals with a home xG of 1.62, so the greater risk of a blank lies with the visitors. However, the signal is not strong: both teams scored in 60% of each side's last five matches, and Sacramento's recent xG stands at 1.84 per game. Therefore, the pick for at least one team not to score has only a slight edge over the scenario in which both teams find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was kept in 75% of Tulsa’s matches and 85% of Sacramento’s. The hosts concede an average of 0.75 goals, while the visitors score 1.00, limiting Sacramento’s expected output. Tulsa do average 1.67 goals scored, but their average has fallen to 1.00 over their last five matches, while Sacramento conceded 0.80 goals per game over that period. The projected total of 2.35 goals remains well below the four-goal mark, making the 3.5 line a stronger signal than the more finely balanced 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tulsa has a stronger case to lead at the break: it averages 0.92 first-half goals compared with Sacramento’s 0.23, and led at half-time in 5 of 12 matches. Over the full 90 minutes, the home side won 58% of the time, compared with 23% for the visitors, averaging 1.67 goals to Sacramento’s 1.00. Their attacking edge is also reflected in the average xG figures: 1.62 versus 1.38, strengthening the case for them to hold their lead through to full-time. However, 1/1 is not a clear favorite, as Sacramento were level at half-time in 8 of 13 matches and averaged 1.8 points across their last five games, compared with Tulsa’s 1.2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sacramento Republic is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Tulsa Roughnecks · 2.2 pts / game - Sacramento Republic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sacramento Republic is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.38 goals / game - Sacramento Republic
Tulsa Roughnecks scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 games), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 games).
Sacramento Republic scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 games), while Tulsa Roughnecks keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tulsa Roughnecks
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tulsa Roughnecks is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.23 pts / game - Sacramento Republic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tulsa Roughnecks - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tulsa Roughnecks
Sacramento Republic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Liga | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.12 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 50% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tulsa Roughnecks's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Sacramento Republic. Games average 1.17 goals, and both teams scored in 17% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?
The USL Championship match finished Tulsa Roughnecks 1:1 Sacramento Republic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tulsa Roughnecks won 3, Sacramento Republic won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?
Tulsa Roughnecks score 1.19 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.38. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Tulsa Roughnecks's matches and 54% of Sacramento Republic's.
What form are Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic in?
Over the last 5 games Tulsa Roughnecks have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.