Turan vs Qabala: match statistics

Qabala have clearly shown better form in their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Turan have managed only 4 points. The visitors have scored 7 goals and conceded 5 during this period, giving them a positive goal difference of +2; the hosts have a 6:8 record. Turan have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Qabala have suffered just one defeat, making the visitors look more stable, particularly defensively. The difference in average points from the five matches—1.6 for Qabala compared with 0.8 for Turan—favors the visitors, although Qabala’s two draws also indicate a genuine risk of the points being shared. Qabala are therefore the most likely winners, albeit probably in a closely contested match.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, equating to 80% for each and providing a clear signal for goals at both ends. During this period, Turan scored 6 goals but conceded as many as 8, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Qabala have shown similarly consistent attacking output, scoring 7 goals in five matches at an average of 1.4, while their xG stands at 1.24. The hosts generate xG of 1.38, whereas Qabala allow opponents 1.28 xG, so Turan should create enough chances to find the net. Although Qabala have conceded only 1.0 goal per match in their recent run, the consistent BTTS indicators and Turan’s defensive vulnerability point more strongly towards a scenario with goals from both teams — BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal — rather than BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score and does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Turan’s last five matches produced an average of 2.8 goals, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 goals per game. Qabala’s matches over the same period averaged 2.4 goals, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Both teams have been scoring and conceding on a regular basis: both sides found the net in 80% of their last five matches, while the combined xG picture points to approximately 2.6 goals. The Over 1.5 line therefore holds a clear edge, as two goals are sufficient, whereas the market for at least three goals remains more evenly balanced.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Qabala win at full-time, as the visitors were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 of 5 for Turan. Over this period, Qabala averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Turan scored 1.2 goals but allowed opponents to find the net 1.6 times. After the break, the visitors averaged 1.6 points per match and recorded a positive goal difference of +1, whereas Turan averaged 1.0 point and had a goal difference of 0. The first halves were generally tight, with both teams averaging exactly 1.0 goal before the interval, while Qabala failed to score in the first half in 80% of their recent matches. Full-season data is unavailable, so the prediction is based on Qabala’s clearer current form and greater effectiveness after the break.